The Cincinnati Reds (67-62) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (63-66) Saturday for the second game of their 3-game series in Phoenix. First pitch from Chase Field is at 8:10 p.m. ET (MLB.TV Free Game of the Day). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 3-1
The Reds sit third in the NL Central but are just 1½ games out of the final Wild Card spot. After winning 3 straight, they have dropped 2 in a row. In Friday’s series opener, they fell 6-5 in 11 innings. SP Zack Littell allowed 4 runs (3 earned) on 4 hits and 3 walks with 3 K’s in 3 innings, while SS Elly De La Cruz tied the game at 4-4 with an RBI single in the eighth. The Reds briefly led 5-4 in the 11th, but Arizona scored twice in the bottom of the inning for the walkoff win.
The streaky Diamondbacks have won 3 in a row after dropping 4 straight. C Gabriel Moreno hit a 3-run homer in the third — his first since returning from a 2-month stint on the injured list with a broken finger — and added 1 more hit. OF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singled home OF Corbin Carroll for the team’s third straight 1-run win and second consecutive walkoff victory.
Reds at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Andrew Abbott vs. RHP Nabil Crismatt
Abbott (8-3, 2.28 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 130 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 3-2 home win in 10 innings over Milwaukee Brewers Sunday2025 road splits: 4-1, 2.67 ERA (54 IP, 16 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 9 startsCareer vs. Diamondbacks: 1 road start (May 15, 2024), no-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 2-1 setback
Crismatt (0-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his second start. He allowed 1 earned run on 3 hits and 1 walk with 5 K’s in 5 innings in his season debut, a 6-5 setback at the Colorado Rockies Sunday.
Signed to minor-league deal with Arizona after being released by Philadelphia Phillies; added to roster and rotation after RHP Andrew DeSclafani got hurtCareer vs. Reds: 1-1, 4.32 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.84 WHIP, 6 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 6 relief appearances
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Reds at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Reds -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-170)Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictionsPrediction
Reds 4, Diamondbacks 3
The Diamondbacks have had four 3-game winning streaks in their last 19 games but haven’t won a fourth straight since July 13-18, which was split by the All-Star Break. They are 33-31 at home but just 27-34 against teams with winning records.
Abbott was stellar in his last start, and Crismatt impressed in his first appearance for the Diamondbacks, but Abbott’s strong season gives more context, while Crismatt has just 1 start this year to evaluate.
BET REDS (-120).
Four of the Diamondbacks’ last 6 losses were by 1 run, and they’ve played in five 1-run games over their last 7.
Four of the Reds’ last 10 wins have been by 1 run, so while there are juicy plus odds for the cover, -120 odds for the straight-up win is just fine.
PASS.
Fourteen of the Reds’ last 16 wins have not surpassed 9 total runs. Six of Abbott’s last 7 starts have not reached double-digit totals.
BET UNDER 9 (-115).
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