The Arizona Diamondbacks (65-69) and Milwaukee Brewers (83-51) tussle Thursday in the finale of a 4-game series at American Family Field in Milwaukee. First pitch is at 2:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

All 3 games in the set have been decided by 2 runs or less. The Diamondbacks dropped the first 2 games of this series (7-5 and 9-8), but bounced back with a 3-2 triumph Wednesday, which snapped a 5-game road losing skid.

On Wednesday, the Brewers went 1-for-12 with runners in scoring position after going 9-for-16 in such situations over the first 2 games of the series. Milwaukee, which started this month with a 14-game winning streak, is 27-11 (.711) since the All-Star break.

Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Nabil Crismatt vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Crismatt (1-0, 1.00 ERA) is making his second start and third appearance. He has registered a 1.22 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 9 innings.

Last outing: Win in relief, 4 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 10-1 win vs. Cincinnati Reds SaturdayCareer vs. Brewers: 0-0, 4.82 ERA (9.1 IP, 5 ER), 14 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 6 games (no starts)

Quintana (10-4, 3.32 ERA) is making his 21st start. He owns a 1.25 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 111 innings.

Last outing: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 5-4 win vs. San Francisco Giants FridayCareer vs. Diamondbacks: 1-2, 6.13 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 46 H, 10 BB, 30 K in 8 starts

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Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Brewers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150) | Brewers -1.5 (+125)Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -118 | U: -102)Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictionsPrediction

Diamondbacks 5, Brewers 4

Crismatt doesn’t put Arizona’s best foot forward on the mound, but peg his pitching counterpart as being a fade candidate. Quintana has benefited from a .254 BABIP and figures to be overrated by his surface ERA. The veteran port-sider carries an expected ERA much higher than his 3.32 ERA. Arizona batters have gotten to Quintana before (aggregate .773 OPS per ESPN), and the Snakes have registered a .787 OPS since Aug. 2.

The Diamondbacks have played the Brewers tough this season, and ARIZONA (+145) is a decent value in this series finale.

No interest. PASS.

Fading the Milwaukee starter and the Arizona bullpen here. Both offenses have put up good numbers this month, and Diamondback batters have a good history against Quintana.

Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 8.5 (-118). A fully vested wager would make more sense at -115 or better.

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