Zach Thompson details his top home run props for Saturday night, spotlighting Ozzie Albies, Willy Adames, and Hunter Goodman.
On Saturday, all 30 Major League Baseball teams are on the schedule with a few spotlight games in the afternoon, followed by 12 games under the lights. Since all 30 teams are taking the field, there are plenty of ways to play the slate on DraftKings Sportsbook, and in this post, we’ll try to find some juicy home run props to enjoy this weekend. After examining all the matchups, game environments, odds, and current form of the players available, my favorite home run props are from Ozzie Albies, Willy Adames, and Hunter Goodman.
Just a quick reminder before we step to the plate and swing for the fences with these home run props—all home run props are long-shot bets. Even the top home run hitters are more likely not to hit a home run in any single game, so home run props are never “safe” picks. While there are some key indicators that can point us in the right direction, home run props are always volatile plays.
As a result, home run props can be a fun part of your betting strategy, but shouldn’t be heavily relied on since they’re uncertain. What makes home run props exciting is the longer odds yield big returns when they do hit. I typically play home run props individually and in round robins at a small unit size, boosting the ceiling even higher if multiple home run props go green.
Breaking down the numbers and matchups, here is why I like these three home run props for Saturday:
Best HR Props on DraftKings Sportsbook
Ozzie Albies to record 1+ home runs (+450)
Albies and the Braves take on the Mariners on Saturday night after taking the first game of the series on Friday. I highlighted Albies and his teammate Hurston Waldrep as two of my favorite MLB DFS plays for the day, and I’m also in on Albies’ home run props as a great value at +450.
Albies has only hit 15 homers in his 141 games this season, but he has looked much better at the plate lately, collecting multiple hits in eight of his last 10 games, including five home runs. His most recent blast came on Wednesday in Chicago.
OZZIE BOMB!
He sends one 377 feet down the left field line at 104.5 off the bat and it’s now 4-2 Cubs
Here’s the Cubs call from Marquee – “and that ball is GONE” pic.twitter.com/yqUPTBDlrO
— Lindsay Crosby, big baseball guy (@CrosbyBaseball) September 3, 2025
Albies has a 51.4% hard-hit rate with a 17.1% barrel rate and an average exit velocity of 92.7 miles per hour over his last 10 games, which are vast improvements on his season averages of a 31.3% hard-hit rate, 4.4% barrel rate, and average exit velocity of 87.6 miles per hour.
The hot-hitting second baseman will have a good matchup against Bryce Miller of the Mariners. Miller has gone 4-5 with a 5.71 ERA and 5.20 FIP on the year, and in his three starts since returning from his most recent injury, he has allowed six home runs in just 16 innings with a 57.1% hard-hit rate against him.
While Albies’ overall numbers being down keep his odds long, his recent heater shows he brings great value at this number at home on Saturday night.
Willy Adames to record 1+ home runs (+500)
Adames is another infielder with down numbers overall this season, but who also has some recent momentum coming into a great matchup Saturday. Like Albies, Adames comes at long odds and brings great value to his home run props Saturday.
In his first year with the Giants, Adames is hitting only .230 but still has 27 homers in his 139 games. Adames has hit nine homers in his 19 games since August 15, including a blast on Friday night to help the Giants take the series opener in St. Louis.
Adames has hit .320 with eight homers in his last 14 games while posting a .474 wOBA. Of his 27 homers on the season, 17 have come against righties and 17 have come on the road, so the fact that he’s facing a righty on the road sets up well for him on Saturday.
The Cardinals will give the ball to righty Andre Pallante, who has had an up-and-down season. He’s 6-13 in 27 starts, and has given up exactly one home run in each of his last six starts while going 0-6 with an 8.67 ERA and 6.07 FIP. He hasn’t given up a huge volume of home runs, but has given up plenty of runs and left games early, which could set up Adames in good matchups against the Cardinals’ bullpen.
In this matchup, I love both Adames and his slugging teammate, Rafael Devers, whose home run props are at +425 odds. They both seem very high given their recent success and Pallante’s struggles coming into Saturday’s contest.
Hunter Goodman to record 1+ home runs (+285)
We’re headed to Coors Field for the final pick in my home run props this Saturday. Surprisingly, Friday night’s game was a low-scoring affair that the Rockies won 3-0. While I do think the Padres bounce back and get plenty of runs on Saturday, their home run props are all fairly short odds given their lack of power lately.
Instead, I’m taking the hero of last night’s game and taking Goodman to keep rolling. On Friday, Goodman hit his 28th homer of the year and went 3-for-3 with a double, a home run, two RBIs and a walk, providing almost all the offense in the game for both teams.
Goodman has two homers in his last three games and nine in his 29 games since August 1. He’s hit .314 over that stretch with a .415 wOBA and a 14.1% barrel rate. He’s been especially locked in for his last eight games, hitting .464 with a .507 wOBA and a 54.5% hard-hit rate.
Goodman and the Rockies will look to make it two wins in a row over the slumping Padres as they take on Randy Vasquez, who is 3-6 on the year and has a 4.17 ERA away from Petco Park. He doesn’t usually go deep into games, pitching under five innings in each of his last four appearances.
Most of Goodman’s production has come against righties with 20 of his homers and a .372 wOBA on that side of his splits. Against righties at Coors, he has a .382 wOBA, so he should be set to keep smashing this Friday night at home in the Mile High City.