The New York Mets (76-66) visit the Cincinnati Reds (71-71) Sunday to wrap up their 3-game series. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 1:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 3-2

After a series-opening 5-4 win Friday, the Mets lost to the Reds 6-3 Saturday, mainly because of 3 HRs allowed by SP Jonah Tong, the only hits he allowed (6 IP, 3 H, 4 ER, 4 BB, 4 K). SS Francisco Lindor went 3-for-4. New York has won 7 of its last 13 games and has a 4-game lead forthe final NL Wild Card spot.

Despite taking down the Mets Saturday, the Reds are just 3-8 over their last 11 games and are 5 games back of the Mets for the final Wild Card. The win snapped a 3-game losing streak, 2 of which were against the Toronto Blue Jays in their series prior. Cincinnati is just 4-7 over its last 11 contests at home.

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Mets at Reds projected starters

RHP Brandon Sproat vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Sproat makes his first career start. He ended AAA action with a 1.24 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 121 innings.

2025 home stats (with Syracuse Mets): 4-2, 4.46 ERA (70 2/3 IP, 35 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 63 H, 26 BB, 53 K in 14 starts and 1 relief appearanceWas taken by the Mets in the second round of the 2023 MLB June Amateur Draft

Greene (5-4, 2.70 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 83 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-4 home win vs. Toronto Blue Jays Monday2025 home stats: 3-1, 1.75 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.80 WHIP, 26 H, 11 BB, 58 K in 8 startsCareer vs. Mets: 0-2, 4.84 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 4 startsMets at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Reds -125 (bet $125 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-200) | Reds -1.5 (+165)Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mets at Reds picks and predictionsPrediction

Reds 5, Mets 4

BET REDS (-125).

The Mets are coming into this game with a rookie pitcher and as a team that struggles as an underdog. They are 18-22 on the season as an underdog and 31-38 on the road, the 10th-worst win rate in the majors.

For the Reds, they have proven to be a streaky side. They are 37-33 following a win and have scored at least 4 runs in 6 straight games. Expect their offense to stay hot as they look to claw back into Wild Card range.

Take REDS (-125).

PASS.

There’s no playable option here. The Mets +1.5 (-200) are far too risky to take. Similarly, the Reds -1.5 (+165) can’t be trusted.

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

The Reds have trended toward the Under for most of the season, but they’ve been on fire over the last week. They are 4-1-1 O/U in their last 6 contests. They have scored at least 4 runs in all 6 games and have allowed at least 4 runs in 4 of those 5 contests as well.

The Mets’ offense has been surging as well, tallying 32 runs over their last 6 outings. They have allowed at least 6 runs in 3 of their last 5 games. There should be ample scoring to finish this series. Take OVER 8.5 (-110).

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