The New York Yankees (82-65) visit the Boston Red Sox (81-67) Saturday for the second game of a 3-game series at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 8-3

New York has won back-to-back games, including a 4-1 victory over Boston Friday as a -116 road favorite. DH Aaron Judge hit a solo home run in the first inning, surpassing Joe DiMaggio on the Yankees’ all-time list.

Boston has dropped consecutive games following Friday’s loss as a +107 underdog. The Red Sox were no-hit until the sixth inning and managed just 2 hits, with RF Nate Eaton hitting a solo home run to avoid the shutout.

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Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Fried (16-5, 3.02 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 176 innings.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-3 home victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays SundayCareer vs. Red Sox: 2-1, 2.16 ERA (25 IP, 6 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 in 4 starts

Bello (11-6, 3.12 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 152 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 7-4 victory at Arizona Diamondbacks SundayCareer vs. Yankees: 5-3, 1.95 ERA (60 IP, 13 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 10 startsYankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Red Sox +118 (bet $100 to win $118)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+120) | Red Sox +1.5 (-145)Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictionsPrediction

Yankees 4, Red Sox 3

PASS.

With Fried’s success not just this season but also against the Red Sox over his career, there’s better value on the spread.

BET RED SOX +1.5 (-145).

The Red Sox have scored 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games while allowing none in 2 of their last 4. With the division and Wild Card races tightening, this matchup is expected to be competitive. The Yankees have scored 4 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

This matchup features 2 pitchers who have been hot this year and can keep runners off the bases. With both teams showing recent struggles in their own right and this series being competitive this season, runs will come at more of a premium. The Under has hit in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these teams.

The Yankees have scored 4 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games, while allowing 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 6.

The Red Sox have allowed 4 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5 games.

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