The Toronto Blue Jays (93-68) host the Tampa Bay Rays (77-84) Sunday afternoon for their final regular-season game and the finale of their 3-game series at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rays vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 7-5

Tampa Bay has dropped its last 3 games after losing 5-1 against Toronto on Saturday while failing to cover as a +143 road underdog. 1B Jonathan Aranda had the Rays’ only run with a solo home run in the sixth inning. The Rays went 0-4 with runners in scoring position while leaving 9 runners on base in the loss.

Toronto has won 3 straight games after Saturday’s win as a -155 home favorite. 2B Ernie Clement had 2 RBIs while C Alejandro Kirk had a solo HR.

The Blue Jays are tied with the New York Yankees for first place in the AL East. The Blue Jays hold the tiebreaker because they won the season series against the Yankees 8-5. The division winner be the AL’s top playoff seed and start at home in a best-of-5 Division Series on Oct. 4.

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Rays vs. Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Ian Seymour vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Seymour (4-2, 2.85 ERA) makes his 19th career appearance and fifth start. The 26-year-old rookie has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 53 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 6-0 road loss against Baltimore Orioles Tuesday1 career start vs. Blue Jays: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 IP, 0 ER), 0.71 WHIP, 3.9 K/9 in 2-1 win Sept. 17

Gausman (10-11, 3.47 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 189 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-1 home loss vs. Boston Red Sox TuesdayCareer vs. Rays: 8-9, 3.91 ERA (133 2/3 IP, 58 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 25 games (23 starts)Rays at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:26 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rays +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Blue Jays -200 (bet $200 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-120) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+100)Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rays at Blue Jays picks and predictionsPrediction

Blue Jays 5, Rays 2

PASS.

There is minimal value on the Blue Jays (-200) to win Sunday in front of their home crowd and clinch the division.

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+120).

Each of the Blue Jays’ last 4 wins have come by at least 2 runs, including the first 2 games in this series. They have scored 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 6 games, while allowing 2 or fewer runs in each of their last 3 games. With the division on the line, expect a statement win from the Jays.

Five of the Rays’ last 6 losses have been by at least 2 runs. They have scored 2 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 5 games while allowing 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

The Blue Jays have hit the Under in 7 of their last 10 games, including each of their last 3 games. They have scored 1 run or fewer in 6 of their last 10 games while allowing 4 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10.

The Rays have avoided the Over in 6 of their last 10. They have scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 10 games, including 2 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 5.

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