The Boston Red Sox (88-73) host the Detroit Tigers (87-74) Sunday in the finale of their 3-game series and their final regular-season game. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 3:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Tigers vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 4-1

The Tigers are tied atop the AL Central with the Cleveland Guardians, who hold the tiebreaker. A win Sunday and a Guardians’ loss to the Texas Rangers will allow the Tigers to clinch the division. The Red Sox have a 1 game lead on the Tigers for the second AL Wild Card position. Depending on the outcomes of this matchup and the Guardians’ game, the Wild Card could look different. The Tigers hold the tiebreaker over the Red Sox, while the Red Sox hold the tiebreaker over the Guardians.

Detroit got back in the win column Saturday with a 2-1 win over Boston while covering as a +100 road underdog. DH Jahmai Jones was responsible for both of the Tigers’ runs with a fifth-inning single.

Boston failed to cover as a -120 home favorite Saturday. 1B Nick Sogard RBI single in the second inning was the only offense generated by the Red Sox, who stranded 6 on base.

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Tigers at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Chris Paddack vs. Undecided

Paddack (5-11, 5.27 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 through 153 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 2 K in a 10-1 home loss vs. Atlanta Braves last FridayCareer vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 6.08 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 3 starts

The Red Sox had not named a starter at the time of publication.

Tigers at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Tigers -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Red Sox +108 (bet $100 to win $108)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers 1.5 (+130) | Red Sox +1.5 (-156)Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Tigers at Red Sox picks and predictionsPrediction

Red Sox 4, Tigers 3

BET RED SOX (+108).

The Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5 games, with their offense scoring 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. Playing their final regular-season game in front of their home crowd, expect a high-energy atmosphere for them to rally behind.

The Tigers have lost all momentum as the season comes to an end. They have dropped 8 of their last 10 games while scoring 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6. They have allowed 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games.

PASS.

The moneyline has the best value in this matchup.

BET UNDER 9 (-104).

The Red Sox have avoided the Over in 6 of their last 10 games including each of their last 3. They have scored 4 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games while allowing 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 5.

The Tigers have hit the Under in 7 of their last 10, including each of their last 4. Their offense has struggled to close the season, scoring 3 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 10 games. They have allowed 4 or fewer runs in each of their last 3 games.

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