The New York Mets were by far one of the most disappointing teams in 2025 after failing to make the playoffs.

Despite adding Juan Soto and bringing back much of the same roster that reached the National League Championship Series in 2024, they somehow got worse. Entering 2026, David Stearns took a decisive step by blowing up a core that consisted of Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo, Jeff McNeil, and Edwin Diaz.

The move shocked many at the beginning of the offseason and even sparked outrage among fans in Flushing. However, Stearns’ plan came to fruition in January when he acquired Freddy Peralta and Luis Robert Jr. via trade and signed Bo Bichette to a three-year deal.

Combined with earlier offseason additions like Devin Williams, Luke Weaver, Marcus Semien, and Jorge Polanco, the Mets suddenly went from a laughingstock to a legitimate contender to dethrone the Los Angeles Dodgers.

And according to FanGraphs’ projected odds for the 2026 season, the numbers suggest that belief may be justified.

What FanGraphs projects for the Mets in 2026