FanGraphs has published their projected playoff odds, which means the season draws near. Soon we will have real baseball to bicker and banter over between ourselves. But in the meantime, we can argue over playoff odds. The Phillies are projected by FanGraphs to have a 65.7% chance to make the playoffs, and an 18.9% chance to defend their NL East Title. Both the Braves and the Mets are given better playoff and division odds.

Today’s question is: What do you think of FanGraph’s projections for the Phillies? Too pessimistic? Too optimistic? About right? Make your case.