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Not even two full months into the 2025 MLB season, oddsmakers think Aaron Judge has all but locked up the American League MVP award.Â
The Yankees slugger is a -8000 favorite at FanDuel Sportsbook, which implies that there’s a 98.8 percent chance Judge will win the award for the third time.Â
2025 AL MVP odds
PlayerOddsAaron Judge-8000Bobby Witt Jr.30/1Jose Ramirez90/1Gunnar Henderson120/1Wyatt Langford120/1Vladimir Guerrero Jr.120/1Cal Raleigh120/1Rafael Devers120/1Odds courtesy of FanDuel
Judge is off to one of the best starts of his career, helping him lap the field in the junior circuit.
Through Tuesday’s game, Judge is hitting .395/.488/.746 with 18 home runs and 47 RBIs.
Oddsmakers are giving him a decent shot at winning the AL Triple Crown (+175) and an outside chance at becoming the first player to hit .400 over a full season since Ted Williams in 1941 (+5000).
Aaron Judge hits a single during the first inning of the Yankees’ win over the Angels on May 27, 2025. ALLISON DINNER/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock
The Royals’ Witt is the only player anywhere remotely close to Judge at +3000.
Witt, who was the second-favorite coming into the season after finishing second in the MVP voting in 2024, has taken a step back this season, hitting .289/.351/.477 with five homers.
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Jose Ramirez is the only other player with odds better than +12000.
In the National League, Shohei Ohtani is a heavy -210 favorite to win the award, setting up a potential back-to-back MVP winner in both leagues.