Keagan Smith gives you a preview, prediction and pick for today’s game between the Detroit Tigers and Arizona Diamondbacks on Monday’s MLB slate.

The opening days of the 2026 MLB season have been an absolute blast to watch, and as we roll into the second week of action on the diamond, there are plenty of games for fans and bettors alike to choose from.

One of the late games on Monday night brings a living legend back to where it all began. The Detroit Tigers (2-1) are on the road, but future Hall-of-Famer Justin Verlander makes his first start for his original franchise since the 2017 campaign. He gets a date with the Arizona Diamondbacks (0-3) in the desert, which should make this an interesting affair.

Come fight the Monday blues with us! Here’s a betting prediction and pick for tonight’s Tigers vs. Diamondbacks matchup courtesy of MLB odds and lines on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Tigers vs. Diamondbacks prediction, preview

Detroit largely had a great first series against the San Diego Padres, winning two of the three matchups 8-2 and 5-2 before falling in the finale by a 3-0 margin. The Tigers continue this trip through the NL West over the next three days and bring plenty of talent with their bats and arms. They’ve recorded just a .582 OPS so far with a .202/.319/.263 slash line, and an .061 ISO is second-worst in the MLB so far. It’s early though and we saw this offense perform like one of the best in baseball for much of last season, so it’s likely only a matter of time before they heat up given that essentially the entire core is back for 2026. The pitching staff got the Tigers through the opening series with a miniscule 1.38 ERA to go with a 1.12 WHIP, recording a 23.4% K% and 8.4% BB%.

The Diamondbacks didn’t fare nearly as well to start their season. They dropped all three games thus far by scores of 8-2, 5-4 and 3-2, so while they’ve kept things close, they’re still seeking their first win of the campaign. A .564 OPS is pretty rough like Detroit’s, and they’re slashing .200/.238/.326 while struggling to reach base. The D-Backs are also 20th in ISO at .126 with two home runs. One stat to note in particular is that the 5.0% BB% they’ve produced is actually second lowest of any team, so perhaps that will even out after they finished top 10 in the stat in 2025. Arizona’s arms had a very difficult first assignment against the Los Angeles Dodgers, so it’s understandable that the group was shelled for the most part to the tune of a 5.63 ERA. A 1.29 WHIP looks perfectly fine, however, the Diamondbacks struggled to punch batters out with a 14.6% K%.

As mentioned in the intro, it’s right-hander Justin Verlander on the bump for Detroit tonight. He’s coming off a couple of down years in terms of WHIP at 1.36 in 2025, but his ERA did rebound some to 3.85 from 5.48 in the prior campaign. He arguably outperformed his 4.24 xERA and gave up plenty of ground balls, but he did finish with a 78th-percentile grade in hard-hit rate.

Arizona starts righty Michael Soroka, who pitched for two different teams last season with a 4.52 ERA but a 1.13 WHIP. He underperformed a 3.53 xERA, so perhaps bad lucky played a part in that mark. He also was 84th percentile in xBA with a 76th-percentile grade in barrel rate, so that was another positive of his 2025 campaign. He also struck out 95 hitters in 89.2 innings, good for a 70th-percentile K%.

Tigers vs. Diamondbacks pick, best bet

DraftKings Sportsbook lists the Diamondbacks as -126 Moneyline favorites at home this evening, while the Tigers hold +104 odds to win outright. The run total sits at an even nine.

Best Bet: Michael Soroka over 14.5 outs recorded (-140)

Soroka had a quality 2025 based on his underlying numbers if you just attribute his ERA to a stroke of poor luck. Here’s the number we want. He went over 14.5 outs in 12/17 starts last season and had an eight-game streak during which he consistently eclipsed that mark. That’s encouraging for his prospects tonight, as is the fact that the Tigers haven’t exactly jumped out to a hot start at the dish. Their .202 average sits 23rd in the MLB and they’re relying on walks to get on base with the fourth-best BB%, and Soroka isn’t particularly generous with giving free passes. I like him to stick around for a full five innings in this one.