The Pirates are -110 favorites vs the Reds

Pirates vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs

Pirates / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-110) on March 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Pirates are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 3-1 ATS.

Pirates vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

Pirates starting pitcher: Bubba Chandler 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Pirates vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylinePirates-1.5 +150O 8.5 -105-110Reds +1.5 -185U 8.5 -115-110

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+14.00 Units / 93% ROI)

Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+13.80 Units / 153% ROI)

Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.05 Units / 61% ROI)

Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 54% ROI)

Jared Triolo has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Will Benson has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 83% ROI)

Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 72% ROI)

Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+7.80 Units / 78% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 150 games (+27.90 Units / 17% ROI)

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 151 games (+26.80 Units / 15% ROI)

The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 124 games (+24.60 Units / 15% ROI)

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 64 away games (+15.55 Units / 20% ROI)

The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 104 games (+11.80 Units / 10% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.15 Units / 19% ROI)

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.15 Units / 7% ROI)

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+6.00 Units / 8% ROI)

The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 1-3 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -61.9% ROI).

1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -35% ROI

1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -51.72% ROI

3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 42.7% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 45.19% ROI).

3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 52.87% ROI

1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Pirates were just 14-39 (.264) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face Reds (eighth in runs allowed).

The Pirates were just 27-54 (.333) on the road in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .457.

The Pirates are just 14-88 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

The Pirates are just 13-73 (.151) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Reds are just 12-27 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Reds are just 8-125 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Reds are just 11-121 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters slugged just .354 against RHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .622 (3,034 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .662 (4,538 PA’s) against RHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .226 against LHP since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters put 45% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Reds hitters slugged just .353 against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers had an ERA of 3.43 (741.0 IP) at home in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .228 against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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