The Cincinnati Reds lost their first game of the season, but have since ripped off three-straight wins, including a 2-0 victory against the Pittsburgh Pirates in their NL Central opener on Monday night.
The Pirates have fallen to 1-3 on the year, which equates to being in last place in the division.
Let’s dive into the odds and my best bet for Tuesday night’s showdown.
Pirates vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, and Total
Run Line
Pirates -1.5 (+140)Reds +1.5 (-165)
Moneyline
Total
OVER 9 (-115)UNDER 9 (-105)Pirates vs. Reds Probable PitchersPittsburgh: Bubba Chandler, RHP (4-1, 4.02 ERA in 2025)Cincinnati: Brandon Williamson, LHP (0-0, 3.77 ERA in 2024)Pirates vs. Reds How to WatchDate: Tuesday, March 31Time: 6:40 p.m. ETVenue: Great American Ball ParkHow to Watch (TV): SportsNet Pittsburgh, Reds.TV Pirates record: 1-3Reds record: 3-1Pirates vs. Reds Best Prop BetBrandon Williamson OVER 1.5 Walks Allowed (-103)
Brandon Williamson had some trouble with command in 2024, allowing 3.1 walks per nine innings pitched. We’ll see if he’s able to fix that issue in 2026, but until he does, I’m going to take the over on his walks total. The Pirates have drawn a walk on 10.2% of their plate appearances so far this season.
Pirates vs. Reds Prediction and Pick
The Reds’ offense has gotten off to a slow start, ranking 25th in OPS at .605, while sporting a batting average of just .194. The Pirates’ offense has been much better, with a batting average os .223 and an OPS of .645.
I also trust Chandler on the mound more than I trust Williamson. The Reds’ starter didn’t pitch at all last season, and he pitched just 14.1 innings in 2024. I need him to prove to me that he can be a competent MLB pitcher before I can trust him when it comes to betting.
I’ll take the Pirates tonight.
Pick: Pirates -120 via Caesars
Claim up to a 10 100% Boosts when you register with Caesars Sportsbook using code SIBONUSDYW. This Caesars Sportsbook promo guarantees 10 100% profit boosts when you place your first real-money wager.
Follow Iain on X and Instagram
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
You can check out all of Iain’s bets here!