The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Rockies

Phillies vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10 Runs

Phillies / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | NSP+

The Philadelphia Phillies (-250) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+200) on April 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Denver, CO.

This season, the Phillies are 4-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 5-2 ATS.

Phillies vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 0-1, 9.01 ERA

Rockies starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 0-0, 4.16 ERA

Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylinePhillies-2.5 +100O 10 +100-250Rockies +2.5 -120U 10 -120+200

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 62.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+13.40 Units / 134% ROI)

Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.45 Units / 67% ROI)

Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.35 Units / 47% ROI)

Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.65 Units / 39% ROI)

Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Ezequiel Tovar has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)

Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 71% ROI)

Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 34% ROI)

Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 54% ROI)

Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 59 away games (+20.55 Units / 30% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 79 away games (+14.70 Units / 15% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 79 away games (+13.30 Units / 15% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 74 of their last 148 games (+10.15 Units / 4% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 99 games (+9.85 Units / 8% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 89 of their last 153 games (+17.05 Units / 9% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 90 of their last 156 games (+14.57 Units / 8% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+6.00 Units / 19% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 36 games at home (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 39 games at home (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 2-5 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -38.51% ROI).

4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -5.51% ROI

5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 50% ROI

1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -57.89% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 5-2 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 39.13% ROI).

2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -4.29% ROI

2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -44.44% ROI

5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 36.77% ROI

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies were 35-5 (.875) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Phillies are 28-95 (.228) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.

The Phillies were 69-5 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Rockies were just 29-89 (.246) after a loss in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Rockies were just 43-119 (.265) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies were just 40-96 (.294) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Rockies were just 25-56 (.309) at home in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters are slugging .506 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .872 (175 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters had an OPS of .764 (4,220 PA’s) against RHP in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Phillies hitters had an OBP of just .292 (730 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends

Rockies hitters had an OBP of just .259 (2,886 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters had an OPS of just .589 (2,886 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .260 (3,113 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Rockies won only 27% of games in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17% in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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