Rays vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today

The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Twins

Rays vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs

Rays / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | RATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-110) on April 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Rays are 3-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 4-4 ATS.

Rays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 0-0, 2.84 ERA

Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 0-1, 3.60 ERA

Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineRays-1.5 +155O 8 -115-110Twins +1.5 -190U 8 -105-110

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

Junior Caminero has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 31% ROI)

Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 68% ROI)

Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 94% ROI)

Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 54% ROI)

Chandler Simpson has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.20 Units / 64% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Tristan Gray has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+11.20 Units / 112% ROI)

Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)

Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)

Luke Keaschall has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 65 of their last 114 games (+11.05 Units / 8% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 82 of their last 146 games (+9.50 Units / 6% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 75 away games (+5.10 Units / 6% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 75 away games (+4.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 95 games (+16.40 Units / 14% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 92% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 119 games (+4.25 Units / 3% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 3-5 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -28.23% ROI).

3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -25.14% ROI

6-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 57.31% ROI

1-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -64.64% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 4-4 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -14.58% ROI).

3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -17.58% ROI

3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI

4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Rays were just 63-11 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Rays were just 57-14 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Rays are 52-6 (.881) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Rays are 138-4 (.972) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 22-28 (.440) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face the Rays (29th runs allowed).

The Twins were just 20-76 (.208) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Twins were just 5-62 (.075) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .371 this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .307 with runners on base since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .306 with runners on base in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .277 in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .220 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Twins have scored 2.88 runs per game (23/8) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have an OBP of just .133 (30 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Rays pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,117 opportunities (7%) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 8% of batters since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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