The Pirates are -130 favorites vs the Orioles

Orioles vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs

Orioles / Pirates TV Channel: MASN | SNPT

The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-130) on April 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Orioles are 3-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 5-3 ATS.

Orioles vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

Orioles starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 0-1, 7.72 ERA

Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 0-1, 3.00 ERA

Orioles vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineOrioles+1.5 -210O 8.5 -118+110Pirates -1.5 +170U 8.5 -102-130

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

Coby Mayo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+20.60 Units / 206% ROI)

Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)

Coby Mayo has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+8.70 Units / 109% ROI)

Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)

Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+7.70 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.80 Units / 63% ROI)

Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)

Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.90 Units / 43% ROI)

Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+11.30 Units / 56% ROI)

Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+11.15 Units / 112% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 141 games (+30.03 Units / 19% ROI)

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 84 of their last 142 games (+17.65 Units / 10% ROI)

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+10.75 Units / 23% ROI)

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 113 games (+9.85 Units / 8% ROI)

The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+8.05 Units / 8% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 150 games (+27.90 Units / 17% ROI)

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 151 games (+26.80 Units / 15% ROI)

The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 124 games (+24.60 Units / 15% ROI)

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games at home (+14.29 Units / 18% ROI)

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 62 games at home (+13.10 Units / 18% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 2-6 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -46.41% ROI).

3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -31.55% ROI

4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -5.08% ROI

4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -4.57% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 5-3 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 4.85% ROI).

5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 29.89% ROI

4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -4.02% ROI

4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -5.06% ROI

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Orioles are just 3-142 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Pirates were just 6-50 (.107) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Pirates were just 5-65 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Pirates were just 1-80 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Pirates are just 14-88 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging .603 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of .351 (77 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Orioles hitters had an OBP of just .307 (2,534 PA’s) with runners on base in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters had an OPS of just .671 (3,064 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

The Pirates are batting just .143 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates batted just .121 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .160 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles won just 11% of the time in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .269 against Orioles pitchers in the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 23% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 14% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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