The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Brewers

Brewers vs Royals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs

Brewers / Royals TV Channel: RYTV | BRTV

The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-125) on April 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Brewers are 6-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 4-4 ATS.

Brewers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 0-0, 1.80 ERA

Royals starting pitcher: Kris Bubic 1-0, 1.50 ERA

Brewers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineBrewers+1.5 -220O 7.5 -110+105Royals -1.5 +180U 7.5 -110-125

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 42% ROI)

Gary Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+11.30 Units / 161% ROI)

Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+9.25 Units / 51% ROI)

William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)

William Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.55 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Jonathan India has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+10.10 Units / 144% ROI)

Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 41% ROI)

Maikel Garcia has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.95 Units / 99% ROI)

Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 35% ROI)

Maikel Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 24% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 125 games (+25.15 Units / 15% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 79 of their last 162 games (+19.75 Units / 9% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 94 of their last 163 games (+19.54 Units / 10% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 95 of their last 162 games (+18.70 Units / 10% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 97 games (+17.10 Units / 14% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 152 games (+27.15 Units / 15% ROI)

The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 76 games at home (+19.40 Units / 23% ROI)

The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games at home (+10.85 Units / 12% ROI)

The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 77 games (+7.70 Units / 8% ROI)

The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.95 Units / 33% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 6-2 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 80% ROI).

6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 28.45% ROI

5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 19.54% ROI

3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -29.21% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 4-4 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -15.48% ROI).

4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -2.12% ROI

2-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -51.41% ROI

6-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 44.57% ROI

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Brewers were 45-36 (.556) on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .457.

The Brewers were 97-65 (.599) in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers were 82-5 (.943) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Brewers were 36-8 (.818) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Royals were 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Royals were just 4-64 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Royals were 34-8 (.810) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Royals are just 34-57 (.374) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2024 season Today, they face the Brewers (first in runs scored).

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers have scored 32 runs with two outs this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers batted .270 on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters had an OBP of .330 (4,406 PA’s) against RHP in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Royals Hitting Stats & Trends

Royals hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters have 1 extra-base hit out of 21 total hits (just 5%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Royals batted just .281 in hitter’s counts in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 40% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 43% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 53% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Royals Pitching Stats & Trends

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Royals pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.7 MPH (4,135 batted balls) in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .227 against Royals pitchers with runners on base in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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