Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today

The Brewers are -115 favorites vs the Red Sox

Brewers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs

Brewers / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BRTV

The Milwaukee Brewers (-115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-105) on April 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Brewers are 7-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 2-7 ATS.

Brewers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff 1-0, 3.60 ERA

Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 0-1, 9.65 ERA

Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineBrewers-1.5 +150O 8 -110-115Red Sox +1.5 -185U 8 -110-105

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)

Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+12.05 Units / 66% ROI)

Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 42% ROI)

Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 77% ROI)

Brice Turang has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.40 Units / 92% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Trevor Story has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.90 Units / 33% ROI)

Trevor Story has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.60 Units / 22% ROI)

Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 29% ROI)

Roman Anthony has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 125 games (+25.15 Units / 15% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 79 of their last 162 games (+19.75 Units / 9% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 95 of their last 162 games (+18.70 Units / 10% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 93 of their last 162 games (+18.54 Units / 10% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 97 games (+17.10 Units / 14% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+16.45 Units / 12% ROI)

The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 78 games at home (+13.55 Units / 15% ROI)

The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games at home (+10.70 Units / 13% ROI)

The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 80 games (+10.30 Units / 10% ROI)

The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 7-2 against the Run Line (+7.4 Units / 74% ROI).

7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 33.98% ROI

6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 27.55% ROI

3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -37% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 2-7 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -52.28% ROI).

2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -60.91% ROI

5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 6.67% ROI

4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -15.92% ROI

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Brewers were 45-36 (.556) on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .457.

The Brewers were 60-36 (.625) after a win in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Brewers were 36-8 (.818) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers have scored 37 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .340 (3,349 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .266 against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters had a swing rate of just 45% in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .267 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have drawn walks in 5% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,740 of their 6,208 plate appearances (28%) in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 37% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.59 (1442.0 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .086 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .135 against Red Sox pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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