Brendan O’Sullivan dives into his pick and prediction for the San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates game on Wednesday, April 8.

The Padres and Pirates play the third and final game of their series on Wednesday, April 8.

Pittsburgh is a -115 moneyline favorite, while San Diego is -105 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The game total is set at over/under 7.5 runs.

Let’s get into a pick and prediction for this Padres vs. Pirates game.

Padres vs. Pirates prediction, preview

The Pirates evened the series at one apiece following a five-run eighth inning on Tuesday. The offense came alive after being shut out in the first game, setting the teams up for a pivotal third and final game.

Michael King is on the mound for the Padres following a tough outing against the Red Sox. He allowed four earned runs on seven hits in 5.2 innings pitched. His first start was much better, posting five scoreless innings against the Tigers. Which version of King shows up tomorrow will be a major role in the outcome.

It won’t be the only factor, however. Nick Pivetta allowed two earned and four hits across five innings on Tuesday, but the Pirates exploded after his exit. The starter can put together a great performance, but it could go to waste if the bullpen doesn’t hold up.

Mitch Keller is starting for the Padres after back-to-back six-inning starts. He holds a 1.50 ERA, having quieted the Mets and limited the Orioles. The Padres’ offense could awaken at any moment, but it’s been low-scoring to start the year. San Diego is averaging 3.70 runs per game, which ranks 21st in the majors.

Padres vs. Pirates Pick, Best Bet

After a 1-3 start, the Pirates are now 7-4. This team is hot and riding the momentum of a 7-1 victory on Tuesday. King is a great starter, but I don’t think he’s shutting down Pittsburgh’s offense.

At essentially even money, I’m siding with the home team in the final game of the series.

Best Bet: Pittsburgh Pirates ML (-115)