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The Colorado Rockies head to Petco Park for a four-game series with the San Diego Padres, with Game 1 taking place tonight.
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These two teams are deadlocked at 6-6 in the NL West standings after Colorado’s surprising four-game winning streak.
See why the underdogs may not cool off so quickly in my Rockies vs. Padres predictions and MLB picks for Thursday, April 9.
Who will win Rockies vs Padres today: Rockies moneyline (+170)
Randy Vasquez was all the rage in spring training and in his first start due to his increased velocity.
Turns out, that was illusory, as Vasquez was back down to his 2025 level (93.6 mph) during his April 4 start. His 5.37 xERA and 4.6% K-BB% with that velocity a year ago hardly indicate future success.
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Colorado Rockies right-hander Chase Dollander is up a tick to 98.8 mph, has a solid 102 Pitching+, and will throw in tandem with an effective bullpen (2.74 SIERA).
The San Diego Padres have a lowly 85 wRC+ against RHP, so there’s cause for concern both at the dish and on the mound.
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COVERS INTEL:
Vasquez was one of the most fortunate hurlers in 2025 as his xERA and xFIP (5.51) both undersold his 3.84 ERA. The increased velocity from his first start is gone, as is the cold and windy weather from his second.
Rockies vs Padres Over/Under pick: Under 8 (-109)
Neither lineup has performed well enough to have confidence in an offense-oriented game. Colorado checks in with a 94 wRC+ while San Diego is even worse at 81.
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The Padres have one of the most talented bullpens in the league, whereas the Rockies have been one of the most effective.
Colorado has been an Under bettor’s dream this season, cashing tickets in nine of their 12 contests.
Dollander has an effective 3.86 ERA on the road, holding batters to a .208 AVG, and his increased stuff to start the year should pay dividends against a down lineup.
JD Yonke’s 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 3-2, +1.25 units
Over/Under bets: 3-3, -0.11 units
Rockies vs Padres odds
Moneyline: Rockies +164 | Padres -196
Run line: Rockies +1.5 (-134) | Padres -1.5 (+112)
Over/Under: Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115)
Rockies vs Padres trend
The Rockies have hit the Under in 14 of their last 20 away games. Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Padres.
How to watch Rockies vs Padres and game info
Location
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Date
Thursday, April 9, 2026
First pitch
9:40 p.m. ET
TV
COLR, SDPA
Rockies starting pitcher
Chase Dollander
(1-1, 5.40 ERA)
Padres starting pitcher
Randy Vasquez
(1-0, 0.75 ERA)
Rockies vs Padres latest injuriesRockies vs Padres weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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