The Tigers are -145 favorites vs the Marlins

Marlins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs

Marlins / Tigers TV Channel: DSN | MATV

The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-145) on April 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Marlins are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 5-9 ATS.

Marlins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 0-1, 3.18 ERA

Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 0-1, 5.23 ERA

Marlins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineMarlins+1.5 -190O 7.5 -115+120Tigers -1.5 +155U 7.5 -105-145

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+22.00 Units / 244% ROI)

Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.90 Units / 69% ROI)

Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 46% ROI)

Jakob Marsee has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 35% ROI)

Agustin Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.05 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Javier Baez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)

Spencer Torkelson has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)

Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 53% ROI)

Dillon Dingler has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games at home (+9.25 Units / 154% ROI)

Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+17.30 Units / 33% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 away games (+15.80 Units / 27% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.70 Units / 26% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+4.30 Units / 6% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+13.90 Units / 31% ROI)

The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.85 Units / 21% ROI)

The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units / 15% ROI)

The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 74% ROI)

The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.60 Units / 36% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 5-9 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -19.49% ROI).

8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 11.05% ROI

9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 22.88% ROI

5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -32.26% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 5-9 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -25% ROI).

5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -34.76% ROI

6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -11.36% ROI

7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 2.27% ROI

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Marlins are 1-5 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .027.

The Marlins are 11-72 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.

The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Marlins are 6-80 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .042.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Tigers are just 5-9 (.357) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers were just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Tigers were 78-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Tigers are just 5-9 (.357) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have put 47% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters slugged just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .218 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends

Tigers hitters had an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have put 46% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting .264 against LHP since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

Marlins pitchers have 27 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 3.24 (466.1 IP) against division opponents in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers had a first-pitch strike rate of 65% in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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