The Brewers are -105 favorites vs the Marlins
Brewers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
Brewers / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | BRTV
The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-115) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Miami, FL.
This season, the Brewers are 10-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 7-12 ATS.
Brewers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 1-1, 3.22 ERA
Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 0-2, 4.41 ERA
Brewers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineBrewers-1.5 +155O 8.5 -115-105Marlins +1.5 -190U 8.5 -105-115
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+13.60 Units / 340% ROI)
Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 58% ROI)
Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Brice Turang has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.60 Units / 95% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.15 Units / 57% ROI)
Connor Norby has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+9.90 Units / 141% ROI)
Jakob Marsee has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Connor Norby has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 77% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.10 Units / 43% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 away games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.40 Units / 21% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.05 Units / 14% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 11-7 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 26.38% ROI).
10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -6.67% ROI
10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 4.71% ROI
8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -14.62% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 7-12 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -25.37% ROI).
9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -2.45% ROI
12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units / 30.95% ROI
5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -38.94% ROI
Marlins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Yes
Gary Sanchez
Jake Bauers
William Contreras
Connor Norby
Garrett Mitchell
Marlins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Marlins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Brewers are just 5-4 (.556) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Brewers are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .108.
The Brewers are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Brewers were 97-65 (.599) in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.
The Marlins are 11-75 (.128) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Marlins are just 1-8 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,062 PA’s) against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Brewers hitters had 121 extra-base hits out of 435 total hits (just 28%) against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,464 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Brewers hitters had an OBP of .339 (3,229 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Marlins hitters slugged just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Marlins are batting .203 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.
Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.59 (1442.0 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have picked-off 5 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have picked-off 6 runners this season — most in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have walked 7% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.07 (776.1 IP) on the road since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Brewers vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.