The Cincinnati Reds (29-30) visit the Chicago Cubs (36-22) for the final game of their 3-game series in Chicago on Sunday. First pitch from Wrigley Field is at 2:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Reds vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cubs lead 3-2

The Reds are 4-6 in their last 10 games. They won the series opener on Friday 6-2, but were shut out 2-0 on Saturday and held to only 1 hit. Starter Nick Lodolo pitched 6 shutout innings but, RP Graham Ashcraft allowed 2 runs in the eighth inning.

The Cubs allowed only 2 baserunners as pitchers Drew Pomeranz, Ben Brown, Brad Keller and Daniel Palencia combined for the one-hitter. Pomeranz opened the game, going 1 inning and Brown pitched the next 6 innings. Keller picked up the win after the Cubs scored 2 runs in the eighth inning on an RBI double by DH Seiya Suzuki and an RBI infield hit by SS Dansby Swanson. The Cubs have won 5 of their last 6 games and 8 of their last 10 games.

Reds at Cubs projected starters

RHP Nick Martinez vs. RHP Jameson Taillon

Martinez (3-5, 3.48 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 64 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 7-4 road win over the Kansas City Royals on Monday.Was 2-2 with 2.25 ERA in 5 May starts (32 IP, 8 ER)Career vs. Cubs: 2-1, 2.25 ERA (24 IP, 6 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 in 2 starts, 6 relief appearances2025 road splits: 1-3, 4.11 ERA (35 IP, 16 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 6.2 K/9 in 6 starts

Taillon (4-3, 3.86 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 63 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 3-1 home win over the Colorado Rockies on Monday2-0 with 1.35 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 2 ER) in last 2 startsCareer vs. Reds: 6-6, 4.79 ERA (99 2/3 IP, 53 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 18 starts2025 home splits: 1-1, 2.67 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.79 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 in 5 starts

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Reds at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:18 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Reds +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Cubs -160 (bet $160 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-165) | Cubs -1.5 (+140)Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Reds at Cubs picks and predictionsPrediction

Cubs 4, Reds 2

The Cubs have won 5 of their last 6 games and are 19-11 at home, while the Reds are 15-16 on the road. They have won their last 3 home series.

Martinez was fantastic in May (2.25 ERA in 32 IP), but Taillon has been dialed in at home with a 2.67 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in 30 1/3 IP.

Expect the Cubs to win the finale, but there is better value with the spread.

PASS.

Eight of the Reds’ last 10 losses have been by 2 or more runs. The last 7 meetings between the 2 teams have been decided by 2 or more runs.

Eight of the Cubs’ last 11 wins have been by 2 or more runs.

BET CUBS -1.5 (+140).

Four of the 5 meetings this season have had totals above 7 runs. But the combination of Taillon’s home ERA and Martinez’s ERA over the last month, this is bound to be a low-scoring game.

The Cubs’ last 4 wins and 8 of the Reds’ last 10 losses have not reached 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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