{"id":107288,"date":"2025-06-16T04:58:22","date_gmt":"2025-06-16T04:58:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/107288\/"},"modified":"2025-06-16T04:58:22","modified_gmt":"2025-06-16T04:58:22","slug":"phillies-at-marlins-odds-picks-and-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/107288\/","title":{"rendered":"Phillies at Marlins odds, picks and predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Philadelphia Phillies<\/a> (42-29) visit the Miami Marlins<\/a> (28-41) Monday in the opener of a 4-game series. First pitch at Loan Depot Park in Miami is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s<\/a> MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions<\/a> for the best bets.<\/p>\n

Season series: Phillies lead 2-1<\/p>\n

The Phillies have rattled off 4 straight victories, sweeping the Toronto Blue Jays and winning the series finale 11-4 on Sunday. Despite its win streak, Philadelphia is just 5-6 over its last 11 games. It has lost 5 straight games on the road as well.<\/p>\n

The Marlins have won 3 games in a row after taking down the Washington Nationals 3-1 Sunday as a +139 moneyline underdog. 1B Eric Wagaman led the way with 2 RBIs. Miami is 5-8 over its last 13 games.<\/p>\n

Phillies at Marlins projected starters<\/p>\n

RHP Mick Abel vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara<\/p>\n

Abel (1-0, 2.35 ERA) makes his fourth career start. The 13-year-old rookie has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.8 BB\/9 and 8.2 K\/9 through 15 1\/3 innings.<\/p>\n

Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (3 HR), 3 BB, 3 K in 8-4 home loss vs. Chicago Cubs on TuesdayCareer road stats: 0-0, 1.69 ERA (5 1\/3 IP, 1 ER), 0 HR, 0 BB, 2 K, 0.56 WHIP, 3.4 K\/9 in 2-1 road loss June 4 to the Toronto Blue JaysMade his rookie debut on May 18 in a 1-0 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates<\/p>\n

Alcantara (3-7, 7.14 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 4.4 BB\/9 and 7.1 K\/9 through 63 innings.<\/p>\n

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H (0 HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 3-2 road win vs. Pirates on Tuesday2025 home stats: 2-3, 5.30 ERA (37 1\/3 IP, 22 ER), 4 HR, 14 BB, 27 K, 1.18 WHIP, 16.5 K\/9 in 7 startsCareer vs. Phillies: 6-9, 3.78 ERA (123 2\/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 7.9 K\/9 in 20 starts<\/p>\n

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Phillies at Marlins odds<\/p>\n

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook<\/a>; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a> for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:04 a.m. ET.<\/p>\n

Moneyline (ML): Phillies -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110)Run line (RL)\/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+125) | Marlins +1.5 (-150)Over\/Under (O\/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Phillies at Marlins picks and predictionsPrediction<\/p>\n

Phillies 6, Marlins 4<\/p>\n

BET PHILLIES (-130).<\/p>\n

The Marlins are just 2-8 in the last 10 games which Alcantara has started. He has allowed at least 4 ER in 6 of his last 8 starts. While Miami has performed well as of late, it has scored more than 4 runs just once in its last 7 games.<\/p>\n

The Phillies, who have scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games, have been surging and sit second in the NL East, 2 1\/2 games back of the New York Mets. They have the fifth-best record as a road favorite at 16-10. Back PHILLIES (-130).<\/p>\n

PASS.<\/p>\n

Neither side is worth playing here. The Phillies (+125) are too risky with Abel on the mound while the Marlins (-150) are too expensive to consider.<\/p>\n

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).<\/p>\n

Neither the Phillies nor Marlins are starting an ace with the rookie Abel coming off his worst performance of the season. Philadelphia has gone 3-1-1 O\/U in its last 5 games, scoring at least 7 runs in 3 of its last 4 contests.<\/p>\n

The Marlins are 7-6 O\/U in Alcantara’s 13 starts and 36-33 O\/U on the season. Considering those trends, take OVER 8.5 (-110).<\/p>\n

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