{"id":107630,"date":"2025-06-16T08:35:22","date_gmt":"2025-06-16T08:35:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/107630\/"},"modified":"2025-06-16T08:35:22","modified_gmt":"2025-06-16T08:35:22","slug":"blue-jays-at-phillies-odds-picks-and-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/107630\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays at Phillies odds, picks and predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

The\u00a0Toronto Blue Jays<\/a>\u00a0(38-32) and Philadelphia Phillies<\/a>\u00a0(41-29) wrap up their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s<\/a> MLB odds around the Blue Jays vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions<\/a> for the best bets.<\/p>\n

Season series: Phillies lead 3-2<\/p>\n

The Phillies edged the Blue Jays 3-2 on Saturday, cashing as -151 home favorites with the Under (8) hitting. SP Cristopher S\u00e1nchez delivered a strong start (7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 5 K), keeping the game tight before OF Max Kepler launched a go-ahead solo homer in the eighth. The win marked Philadelphia\u2019s third straight victory.<\/p>\n

The Blue Jays have been outscored 11-2 in the first 2 games of the series. 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2-for-4 with an RBI double on Saturday. Reliever Chad Green took the loss after surrendering Kepler’s homer.<\/p>\n

Blue Jays at Phillies projected starters<\/p>\n

RHP\u00a0Jose Berrios vs. RHP\u00a0Zack Wheeler<\/p>\n

Berrios (2-2, 3.38 ERA) is making his 15th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.5 BB\/9 and 7.7 K\/9 through 82 2\/3 innings.<\/p>\n

Last start: No-decision, 6 2\/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 5-4 victory at St. Louis Cardinals Monday2025 road stats: 1-1, 2.50 ERA (36 IP, 10 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 6.3 K\/9 in 6 startsLast start vs. Phillies: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 2-1 home victory June 4Career vs. Phillies: 1-2, 5.82 ERA (21 1\/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 13.3 K\/9 in 4 starts<\/p>\n

Wheeler (6-2, 2.85 ERA) is making his 14th start. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 2.1 BB\/9 and 11.1 K\/9 through 82 innings.<\/p>\n

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-3 victory against the Chicago Cubs Monday2025 home stats: 3-1, 2.84 ERA (38 IP, 12 ER), 0.79 WHIP, 11.6 K\/9 in 6 startsCareer vs. Blue Jays: 0-2, 4.36 ERA (33 IP, 16 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 8.5 K\/9 in 6 starts (Last in 2023)<\/p>\n

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Blue Jays at Phillies odds<\/p>\n

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook<\/a>; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a> for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.<\/p>\n

Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +154 (bet $100 to win $154) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)Run line (RL)\/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-150) | Phillies -1.5 (+125)Over\/Under (O\/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)Blue Jays at Phillies picks and predictionsPrediction<\/p>\n

Phillies 5, Blue Jays 2<\/p>\n

PASS.<\/p>\n

I like the Phillies (-190) to win, but not at these odds, I’ll take my wager to the run line.<\/p>\n

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+125).<\/p>\n

The Phillies are in position to complete the sweep on Sunday. Winners of 4 of their last 5 games, Philadelphia enters with a strong 23-13 home record. Wheeler takes the mound and has owned the Blue Jays in the past, allowing just 2 earned runs over his last 3 starts (18 innings) against them. The Phillies’ pitching staff has been dominant at home, striking out 341 batters\u2014averaging 9.5 per game, the third-highest mark in MLB.<\/p>\n

Toronto counters with their ace Berr\u00edos, but it may not be enough. Berr\u00edos has struggled against the Phillies, allowing 12 ER in his last 3 starts (15 2\/3 innings) against them. The Blue Jays have also been below average on the road with a 16-19 record and a 4.01 team ERA.<\/p>\n

With momentum and matchup advantages on their side, back the Phillies to cover the run line and finish the sweep.<\/p>\n

I\u2019m passing on the total in this one. While my initial lean is toward the Under with 2 quality starters on the mound, the recent trends don\u2019t support it. With conflicting signals and no strong edge, I\u2019ll AVOID the guesswork and keep my focus on the run line instead for Sunday\u2019s matchup.<\/p>\n

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com<\/a> and BetFTW<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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