Team Overview<\/p>\n
Overview<\/p>\n
Twins<\/p>\n
Mariners<\/p>\n
Edge<\/p>\n
Overview<\/p>\n
Twins<\/p>\n
Mariners<\/p>\n
Edge<\/p>\n
Batting (wRC+)<\/p>\n
101 (9th in AL)<\/p>\n
114 (2nd in AL)<\/p>\n
Mariners<\/p>\n
Fielding (OAA)<\/p>\n
0 (6th)<\/p>\n
-7 (11th)<\/p>\n
Twins<\/p>\n
Starting Pitching (FIP-)<\/p>\n
97 (6th)<\/p>\n
108 (8th)<\/p>\n
Twins<\/p>\n
Bullpen (FIP-)<\/p>\n
84 (2nd)<\/p>\n
106 (13th)<\/p>\n
Twins<\/p>\n
The Mariners just saw the Twins back in Seattle and earned a series win against them, a bright spot during a miserable swoon. The Twins went on to their own struggles, winning a series against the A\u2019s but then dropping consecutive series to Toronto, Texas, Houston (a very unhelpful sweep), and Cincinnati. They\u2019re coming off the hands of a sweep from their Midwest NL rival the Brewers<\/a> and would be languishing in last place in their division if not for the existence of the White Sox<\/a>. Their most brutal loss was maybe this past Saturday, when they got a strong performance from starter Simeon Woods-Richardson that was undone by sloppy fielding mistakes that catcher Ryan Jeffers called \u201cembarrassing.\u201d The Twins are in a tough skid lately, while the Mariners seem to be perking up. With a series win at Wrigley against a very good Cubs<\/a> team thanks to the continued supernova season of Cal Raleigh and a rejuvenated-looking Donovan Solano, the Mariners come into Target Field with some momentum and a series win on their shopping list, although let\u2019s be honest, they\u2019ll probably wind up buying way more than they planned.<\/p>\n Twins Lineup<\/p>\n Player<\/p>\n Position<\/p>\n Bats<\/p>\n PA<\/p>\n K%<\/p>\n BB%<\/p>\n ISO<\/p>\n wRC+<\/p>\n Player<\/p>\n Position<\/p>\n Bats<\/p>\n PA<\/p>\n K%<\/p>\n BB%<\/p>\n ISO<\/p>\n wRC+<\/p>\n Byron Buxton<\/p>\n CF<\/p>\n R<\/p>\n 258<\/p>\n 26.7%<\/p>\n 8.9%<\/p>\n 0.289<\/p>\n 155<\/p>\n Matt Wallner<\/p>\n RF<\/p>\n L<\/p>\n 141<\/p>\n 29.1%<\/p>\n 9.9%<\/p>\n 0.234<\/p>\n 110<\/p>\n Willi Castro<\/p>\n 2B<\/p>\n S<\/p>\n 218<\/p>\n 24.3%<\/p>\n 9.2%<\/p>\n 0.176<\/p>\n 133<\/p>\n Trevor Larnach<\/p>\n DH<\/p>\n L<\/p>\n 298<\/p>\n 21.8%<\/p>\n 8.1%<\/p>\n 0.160<\/p>\n 107<\/p>\n Carlos Correa<\/p>\n SS<\/p>\n R<\/p>\n 258<\/p>\n 19.4%<\/p>\n 6.2%<\/p>\n 0.120<\/p>\n 91<\/p>\n Ty France<\/p>\n 1B<\/p>\n R<\/p>\n 301<\/p>\n 15.3%<\/p>\n 4.3%<\/p>\n 0.113<\/p>\n 103<\/p>\n Brooks Lee<\/p>\n 3B<\/p>\n S<\/p>\n 233<\/p>\n 19.7%<\/p>\n 4.7%<\/p>\n 0.128<\/p>\n 99<\/p>\n Ryan Jeffers<\/p>\n C<\/p>\n R<\/p>\n 242<\/p>\n 19.4%<\/p>\n 11.6%<\/p>\n 0.152<\/p>\n 114<\/p>\n Harrison Bader<\/p>\n LF<\/p>\n R<\/p>\n 215<\/p>\n 24.2%<\/p>\n 9.3%<\/p>\n 0.166<\/p>\n 119<\/p>\n Forgive us for borrowing liberally from the last series preview, but not too much has changed since the past time these two met up. The question for this lineup always remains health, and right now a healthy Byron Buxton is performing at his peak. He\u2019s playing elite defense and hitting well, and should probably be better represented in All-Star voting than he is. His fellow superstar, Carlos Correa, has slipped some and is currently struggling to hit around the .250-.260 mark the rest of this lineup is performing at outside of Buxton and Willi Castro, who\u2019s having a career year at the plate but missed yesterday\u2019s game with wrist soreness. <\/p>\n Probable Pitchers <\/p>\n Updated Stuff+ Explainer<\/a> <\/p>\n Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images<\/p>\n Game 1 Pitching Matchup<\/p>\n Pitcher<\/p>\n IP<\/p>\n K%<\/p>\n BB%<\/p>\n HR\/FB%<\/p>\n GB%<\/p>\n ERA<\/p>\n FIP<\/p>\n Pitcher<\/p>\n IP<\/p>\n K%<\/p>\n BB%<\/p>\n HR\/FB%<\/p>\n GB%<\/p>\n ERA<\/p>\n FIP<\/p>\n Bailey Ober<\/p>\n 79.1<\/p>\n 17.8%<\/p>\n 6.0%<\/p>\n 10.8%<\/p>\n 28.8%<\/p>\n 4.54<\/p>\n 4.70<\/p>\n Bryan Woo<\/p>\n 89.1<\/p>\n 22.3%<\/p>\n 4.0%<\/p>\n 10.3%<\/p>\n 40.3%<\/p>\n 3.12<\/p>\n 3.49<\/p>\n RHP Bailey Ober<\/p>\n Pitch<\/p>\n Frequency<\/p>\n Velocity<\/p>\n Stuff+<\/p>\n Whiff+<\/p>\n BIP+<\/p>\n xwOBA<\/p>\n Pitch<\/p>\n Frequency<\/p>\n Velocity<\/p>\n Stuff+<\/p>\n Whiff+<\/p>\n BIP+<\/p>\n xwOBA<\/p>\n Four-seam<\/p>\n 37.3%<\/p>\n 90.4<\/p>\n 94<\/p>\n 86<\/p>\n 113<\/p>\n 0.348<\/p>\n Sinker<\/p>\n 3.3%<\/p>\n 90.6<\/p>\n Changeup<\/p>\n 29.2%<\/p>\n 83.3<\/p>\n 106<\/p>\n 98<\/p>\n 106<\/p>\n 0.24<\/p>\n Curveball<\/p>\n 4.2%<\/p>\n 75.4<\/p>\n 80<\/p>\n Slider<\/p>\n 17.3%<\/p>\n 83.4<\/p>\n 92<\/p>\n 76<\/p>\n 110<\/p>\n 0.384<\/p>\n Sweeper<\/p>\n 8.7%<\/p>\n 79.0<\/p>\n 92<\/p>\n 130<\/p>\n 98<\/p>\n 0.317<\/p>\n From a previous series preview:<\/p>\n Bailey Ober uses every inch of his 6-foot-9 frame to maximize his lackluster raw stuff. His elite extension down the mound helps his fastball play up, his release point is much higher than normal, and the movement profile of his pitches is not what you\u2019d expect from a pitcher with his stature. He has one of the most extreme fly ball profiles in the game but manages to keep the ball in the yard thanks to a huge popup rate and plenty of lazy fly balls. His strikeout rate has taken a pretty steep drop this year, though all his underlying pitch metrics look in line with his career norms.<\/p>\n Game 2 Pitching Matchup<\/p>\n Pitcher<\/p>\n IP<\/p>\n K%<\/p>\n BB%<\/p>\n HR\/FB%<\/p>\n GB%<\/p>\n ERA<\/p>\n FIP<\/p>\n Pitcher<\/p>\n IP<\/p>\n K%<\/p>\n BB%<\/p>\n HR\/FB%<\/p>\n GB%<\/p>\n ERA<\/p>\n FIP<\/p>\n Chris Paddack<\/p>\n 80.1<\/p>\n 16.7%<\/p>\n 6.8%<\/p>\n 10.0%<\/p>\n 39.4%<\/p>\n 4.48<\/p>\n 4.35<\/p>\n Luis Castillo<\/p>\n 85.1<\/p>\n 20.1%<\/p>\n 7.8%<\/p>\n 10.3%<\/p>\n 40.2%<\/p>\n 3.38<\/p>\n 4.11<\/p>\n RHP Chris Paddack<\/p>\n Pitch<\/p>\n Frequency<\/p>\n Velocity<\/p>\n Stuff+<\/p>\n Whiff+<\/p>\n BIP+<\/p>\n xwOBA<\/p>\n Pitch<\/p>\n Frequency<\/p>\n Velocity<\/p>\n Stuff+<\/p>\n Whiff+<\/p>\n BIP+<\/p>\n xwOBA<\/p>\n Four-seam<\/p>\n 48.0%<\/p>\n 93.5<\/p>\n 96<\/p>\n 77<\/p>\n 110<\/p>\n 0.337<\/p>\n Changeup<\/p>\n 24.0%<\/p>\n 84.0<\/p>\n 101<\/p>\n 90<\/p>\n 140<\/p>\n 0.331<\/p>\n Curveball<\/p>\n 12.2%<\/p>\n 77.9<\/p>\n 86<\/p>\n 51<\/p>\n 149<\/p>\n 0.254<\/p>\n Slider<\/p>\n 14.4%<\/p>\n 86.4<\/p>\n 85<\/p>\n 69<\/p>\n 109<\/p>\n 0.376<\/p>\n From a previous series preview:<\/p>\n Chris Paddack had two terrible starts to his season, allowing 13 runs in 7.1 innings. He\u2019s allowed no more than three runs in any of his nine starts since then and has looked like a perfectly solid member of the Twins rotation. His strikeout rate has fallen pretty significantly from where it was when he was a highly regarded prospect with the Padres. Now, he mostly relies on some excellent contact suppression skills with just enough swing-and-miss in his profile to make the whole package work. His changeup is still his best pitch, but he\u2019s also integrated two breaking balls into his pitch mix, giving him two additional weapons he never had while he was in San Diego.<\/p>\n Game 3 Pitching Matchup<\/p>\n Pitcher<\/p>\n IP<\/p>\n K%<\/p>\n BB%<\/p>\n HR\/FB%<\/p>\n GB%<\/p>\n ERA<\/p>\n FIP<\/p>\n Pitcher<\/p>\n IP<\/p>\n K%<\/p>\n BB%<\/p>\n HR\/FB%<\/p>\n GB%<\/p>\n ERA<\/p>\n FIP<\/p>\n Joe Ryan<\/p>\n 85.1<\/p>\n 28.7%<\/p>\n 6.0%<\/p>\n 9.4%<\/p>\n 37.0%<\/p>\n 3.06<\/p>\n 3.36<\/p>\n George Kirby<\/p>\n 30.2<\/p>\n 25.0%<\/p>\n 6.1%<\/p>\n 20.6%<\/p>\n 38.2%<\/p>\n 6.16<\/p>\n 4.86<\/p>\n RHP Joe Ryan<\/p>\n Pitch<\/p>\n Frequency<\/p>\n Velocity<\/p>\n Stuff+<\/p>\n Whiff+<\/p>\n BIP+<\/p>\n xwOBA<\/p>\n Pitch<\/p>\n Frequency<\/p>\n Velocity<\/p>\n Stuff+<\/p>\n Whiff+<\/p>\n BIP+<\/p>\n xwOBA<\/p>\n Four-seam<\/p>\n 54.0%<\/p>\n 93.3<\/p>\n 107<\/p>\n 124<\/p>\n 123<\/p>\n 0.288<\/p>\n Sinker<\/p>\n 9.5%<\/p>\n 92.9<\/p>\n 100<\/p>\n 99<\/p>\n 157<\/p>\n 0.422<\/p>\n Splitter<\/p>\n 14.9%<\/p>\n 87.5<\/p>\n 94<\/p>\n 69<\/p>\n 67<\/p>\n 0.308<\/p>\n Curveball<\/p>\n 1.5%<\/p>\n 78.4<\/p>\n Slider<\/p>\n 5.9%<\/p>\n 87.0<\/p>\n 107<\/p>\n Sweeper<\/p>\n 14.3%<\/p>\n 80.2<\/p>\n 107<\/p>\n 118<\/p>\n 88<\/p>\n 0.257<\/p>\n Joe Ryan has leveraged one of the best four-seam fastballs in the majors into a fantastic start to his career. A slight velocity boost last year helped him lower his FIP by more than half a run and it\u2019s even better this season. His big hurdle has been trying to find the right mix of secondary pitches to pair with his heater and he\u2019s settled on a splitter and two variations of his slider, a harder gyro slider and a slower sweeper. And because his arsenal results in so much fly ball contact, he\u2019s even introduced a sinker to his repertoire to try and keep the ball on the ground just a little more often. The whole package is extremely impressive and you could argue that he\u2019s developed into the ace of Minnesota\u2019s pitching staff.<\/p>\n Game 4 Pitching Matchup<\/p>\n Pitcher<\/p>\n IP<\/p>\n K%<\/p>\n BB%<\/p>\n HR\/FB%<\/p>\n GB%<\/p>\n ERA<\/p>\n FIP<\/p>\n Pitcher<\/p>\n IP<\/p>\n K%<\/p>\n BB%<\/p>\n HR\/FB%<\/p>\n GB%<\/p>\n ERA<\/p>\n FIP<\/p>\n Simeon Woods Richardson<\/p>\n 53.1<\/p>\n 19.6%<\/p>\n 8.9%<\/p>\n 10.5%<\/p>\n 31.5%<\/p>\n 5.06<\/p>\n 4.58<\/p>\n Emerson Hancock<\/p>\n 66.1<\/p>\n 17.7%<\/p>\n 8.5%<\/p>\n 19.4%<\/p>\n 43.2%<\/p>\n 5.43<\/p>\n 5.48<\/p>\n RHP Simeon Woods Richardson<\/p>\n Pitch<\/p>\n Frequency<\/p>\n Velocity<\/p>\n Stuff+<\/p>\n Whiff+<\/p>\n BIP+<\/p>\n xwOBA<\/p>\n Pitch<\/p>\n Frequency<\/p>\n Velocity<\/p>\n Stuff+<\/p>\n Whiff+<\/p>\n BIP+<\/p>\n xwOBA<\/p>\n Four-seam<\/p>\n 45.6%<\/p>\n 93.1<\/p>\n 81<\/p>\n 107<\/p>\n 99<\/p>\n 0.374<\/p>\n Changeup<\/p>\n 8.6%<\/p>\n 83.2<\/p>\n 107<\/p>\n Splitter<\/p>\n 2.3%<\/p>\n 86.3<\/p>\n Curveball<\/p>\n 15.3%<\/p>\n 77.5<\/p>\n 85<\/p>\n 40<\/p>\n 100<\/p>\n 0.373<\/p>\n Slider<\/p>\n 28.3%<\/p>\n 85.4<\/p>\n 92<\/p>\n 73<\/p>\n 94<\/p>\n 0.298<\/p>\n Simeon Woods Richardson enjoyed some success in his first full season in the majors last year. His extreme over-the-top delivery creates a ton of carry for his fastball but it also means his entire repertoire is oriented north to south without much horizontal movement to speak of. As a result, his breaking balls don\u2019t miss many bats and instead generate plenty of weak contact. He also doesn\u2019t have a consistent offspeed pitch to keep left-handed batters at bay, which makes him a five-and-dive starter at best. He\u2019s pitched into the seventh inning just twice in his career and his six inning outing in his last start was the longest of this season.<\/p>\n The Big Picture:<\/p>\n AL West Standings<\/p>\n Team<\/p>\n W-L<\/p>\n W%<\/p>\n Games Behind<\/p>\n Recent Form<\/p>\n Team<\/p>\n W-L<\/p>\n W%<\/p>\n Games Behind<\/p>\n Recent Form<\/p>\n Astros<\/p>\n 45-33<\/p>\n 0.577<\/p>\n —<\/p>\n W-L-W-L-W<\/p>\n Mariners<\/p>\n 39-37<\/p>\n 0.513<\/p>\n 5.0<\/p>\n W-L-W-L-W<\/p>\n Rangers<\/p>\n 38-40<\/p>\n 0.487<\/p>\n 7.0<\/p>\n L-L-W-W-L<\/p>\n Angels<\/p>\n 37-40<\/p>\n 0.481<\/p>\n 7.5<\/p>\n W-L-L-W-L<\/p>\n Athletics<\/p>\n 32-48<\/p>\n 0.400<\/p>\n 14.0<\/p>\n L-W-W-L-L<\/p>\n AL Wild Card Standings<\/p>\n Team<\/p>\n W-L<\/p>\n W%<\/p>\n Games Behind<\/p>\n Recent Form<\/p>\n Team<\/p>\n W-L<\/p>\n W%<\/p>\n Games Behind<\/p>\n Recent Form<\/p>\n Rays<\/p>\n 43-35<\/p>\n 0.551<\/p>\n +3.0<\/p>\n W-L-W-W-L<\/p>\n Blue Jays<\/p>\n 41-36<\/p>\n 0.532<\/p>\n +1.5<\/p>\n W-L-L-W-L<\/p>\n Mariners<\/p>\n 39-37<\/p>\n 0.513<\/p>\n —<\/p>\n W-L-W-L-W<\/p>\n Guardians<\/p>\n 39-37<\/p>\n 0.513<\/p>\n —<\/p>\n W-L-L-W-W<\/p>\n Red Sox<\/p>\n 40-39<\/p>\n 0.506<\/p>\n 0.5<\/p>\n L-W-W-L-L<\/p>\n Annoyingly, the Mariners didn\u2019t get anything out of their series win at Wrigley because Houston also won their series against the Angels, who will see Baltimore at home this week. The Astros<\/a> will go on to play the Phillies<\/a> this week, so LET\u2019S GO BIRDS, or things of that nature. The Rangers are coming off a series win against the Pirates, duh, and will play at Baltimore this week before they return home to face the Mariners, who will be finishing up this long road trip. The A\u2019s managed a series split against the Astros but went on to lose against the same Guardians team the Mariners just swept; they\u2019ll have a tough slate this week against the Tigers and Yankees<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Mariners escaped Wrigley with a series win thanks to the bats heating up along with the temperature…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":126009,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2392],"tags":[422,5,439,181,3229,3228,620,822,4,3227,619,65,3235,1646,3230,148],"class_list":{"0":"post-126008","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-seattle-mariners","8":"tag-at","9":"tag-baseball","10":"tag-exclude-from-stn-video","11":"tag-front-page","12":"tag-landing","13":"tag-lookout","14":"tag-mariners","15":"tag-minnesota","16":"tag-mlb","17":"tag-preview","18":"tag-seattle","19":"tag-seattle-mariners","20":"tag-seattlemariners","21":"tag-series","22":"tag-series-previews","23":"tag-twins"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/114734858547728416","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126008","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=126008"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126008\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/126009"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=126008"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=126008"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=126008"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"MLB:](\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/usa_today_26500971.jpg\"\/)
<\/p>\n