MLB Picks Today:<\/p>\n
Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Saturday, May 10.<\/p>\n
Check out Greg\u2019s\u00a0Daily MLB Lines<\/a>\u00a0and his\u00a0Baseball Betting Show Podcast<\/a>. Also, check out our\u00a0MLB Betting Splits<\/a>.<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n 4:05 PM Eastern<\/p>\n Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates<\/p>\n Pirates starting pitcher Andrew Heaney has seen a significant decline in his strikeout rate compared to past seasons, now at 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings\u2014his lowest since 2015. However, he\u2019s posted a 3.18 ERA and allowed just 0.9 home runs per nine innings. Braves starter AJ Smith-Shawver owns a 3.00 ERA, having allowed three runs or fewer in all five starts this season, and he faces a Pirates lineup averaging only 3.1 runs per game, last in the league.<\/p>\n Pick: Under 8.5 Runs (Greg\u2019s Handicapped Total: 8.3)<\/p>\n St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals<\/p>\n Nationals starter Trevor Williams has a 5.86 ERA this season, but is due for some positive regression with a 4.18 fielding independent. He\u2019s allowing 1.3 home runs and 2.8 walks per nine innings. Cardinals starter Andre Pallante has a 4.75 ERA and is giving up 1.5 home runs and four walks per nine, with a 5.44 FIP suggesting further struggles.<\/p>\n Pick: Nationals Moneyline +100 (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Nationals -107)<\/p>\n 4:10 PM Eastern<\/p>\n Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays<\/p>\n Rays starter Taj Bradley has struggled in 2025, with his strikeout rate falling to 6.6 per nine innings after posting double digits in his first two seasons. He carries a 4.43 ERA and a 4.63 FIP, with four walks per nine innings. Brewers starter Tobias Myers has a 3.65 ERA and has issued 5.1 walks per nine, but has only allowed one home run in 12 1\/3 innings. He\u2019s backed by a Brewers offense averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road, fifth-best in the league.<\/p>\n Pick: Brewers Moneyline +119 (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Brewers -109)<\/p>\n 6:10 PM Eastern<\/p>\n Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cleveland Guardians<\/p>\n Phillies starter Ranger Su\u00e1rez has struggled since the 2024 All-Star Break, posting a 5.65 ERA in the second half last season and giving up seven runs in 3 2\/3 innings in his 2025 debut. Guardians starter Tanner Bibee is also underperforming with 6.6 strikeouts and 2.1 home runs allowed per nine innings, leading to a 4.26 ERA and 6.13 FIP.<\/p>\n Pick: Over 7.5 Runs (Greg\u2019s Handicapped Total: 8.3)<\/p>\n Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers<\/p>\n Rangers ace Jacob deGrom is returning to form, allowing just four runs over his past four starts to lower his ERA to 2.61. Tigers starter Jack Flaherty has a 3.79 ERA with a strong 3.42 FIP and is striking out 10.9 per nine innings. He faces a Rangers lineup that ranked 28th in scoring entering Friday, averaging just over 3.2 runs per game.<\/p>\n Pick: Under 7.5 Runs (Greg\u2019s Handicapped Total: 6.8)<\/p>\n 7:10 PM Eastern<\/p>\n Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals<\/p>\n Red Sox starter Garrett Crochet has been dominant with a 2.02 ERA and only three home runs allowed in 49 innings, though a 2.82 FIP and 3.7 walks per nine suggest slight regression is possible. Royals starter Cole Ragans is due for major positive regression, with a 3.79 ERA but a 2.38 FIP and a staggering 14.4 strikeouts per nine innings. He\u2019ll face a Red Sox offense that ranks third in the AL with 4.9 runs per game.<\/p>\n Pick: Over 7 Runs (Greg\u2019s Handicapped Total: 7.7)<\/p>\n 7:15 PM Eastern<\/p>\n San Francisco Giants vs. Minnesota Twins<\/p>\n Giants starter Logan Webb has stark home\/road splits, with a career 2.67 ERA and 0.4 HR\/9 at home versus a 4.08 ERA and 0.8 HR\/9 on the road. Twins starter Joe Ryan has a career 3.65 ERA at home compared to 4.05 on the road. Minnesota\u2019s offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game at home, third in the AL.<\/p>\n Pick: Over 7 Runs (Greg\u2019s Handicapped Total: 7.6)<\/p>\n 8:10 PM Eastern<\/p>\n San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies<\/p>\n The Rockies entered Friday with a 6-31 record, on pace for a historically poor 26-136 season. They send Bradley Blalock to the mound, who has an 8.03 ERA and is allowing 2.2 home runs per nine innings. Padres starter Stephen Kolek has a career 4.67 ERA but a 3.49 FIP and has limited home runs to just 0.7 per nine innings.<\/p>\n Pick: Padres Run Line -1.5 -124 (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Padres -1.5 -136)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"MLB Picks Today: Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Saturday, May 10.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15299,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2388],"tags":[5,44,822,60,3190,4,163,164,148],"class_list":{"0":"post-15298","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-minnesota-twins","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-featured","10":"tag-minnesota","11":"tag-minnesota-twins","12":"tag-minnesotatwins","13":"tag-mlb","14":"tag-mlb-best-bets","15":"tag-mlb-picks","16":"tag-twins"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/114482137499323417","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15298","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15298"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15298\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15299"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15298"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15298"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15298"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}