MLB Picks Today:<\/p>\n
Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Wednesday, April 30.<\/p>\n
Check out Greg\u2019s\u00a0Daily MLB Lines<\/a>\u00a0and his\u00a0Baseball Betting Show Podcast<\/a>. Also, check out our\u00a0MLB Betting Splits<\/a>.<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Top MLB Resources:<\/p>\n 3:10 PM Eastern<\/p>\n Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers<\/p>\n Dodgers starting pitcher Tony Gonsolin is making his first MLB start since 2023 \u2014 and he wasn\u2019t great back then either, posting a 5.43 FIP and a 4.98 ERA with 1.7 home runs and 3.5 walks allowed per nine innings. Marlins starter Cal Quantrill hasn\u2019t been much better, with a 5.50 FIP and at least three runs allowed in four of his past five starts. Still, he\u2019s done just enough to lead Miami to wins in three of his last four outings.<\/p>\n Pick: Marlins Moneyline +247 (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Marlins +239)<\/p>\n 4:10 PM Eastern<\/p>\n San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres<\/p>\n Padres starter Michael King has been dominant this year with a 2.18 ERA, allowing three earned runs or fewer in all six starts. He\u2019s averaging 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings and is backed by a bullpen that entered Monday with a league-best 1.61 ERA. Giants starter Landon Roupp boasts similar strikeout numbers (10.9 K\/9), but a 4.56 ERA thanks to 1.1 home runs and 3.9 walks allowed per nine.<\/p>\n Pick: Padres Moneyline -128 (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Padres -146)<\/p>\n Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners<\/p>\n The Angels entered Tuesday with the league\u2019s worst batting average at .210 and now have to play in a ballpark that\u2019s been the toughest for hitters in 2024. Angels starter Tyler Anderson has a 2.75 ERA in 17 road starts since the start of the 2024 season, with just 0.9 home runs allowed per nine. Mariners starter Emerson Hancock has allowed just four total runs over his last two starts (11 innings), bouncing back from a blow-up debut where he gave up six runs in 2\/3 of an inning.<\/p>\n Pick: Under 8.5 Runs (Greg\u2019s Handicapped Total: 7.3)<\/p>\n 6:35 PM Eastern<\/p>\n New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles<\/p>\n Both starters come in with mediocre numbers. Orioles pitcher Cade Povich owns a 5.04 ERA and 4.39 FIP, giving up 1.4 home runs and 3.2 walks per nine. Yankees starter Carlos Carrasco hasn\u2019t been better, with a 5.26 ERA and 5.32 FIP, plus 1.8 home runs allowed per nine \u2014 but he\u2019s supported by an offense scoring an AL-best 5.4 runs per game.<\/p>\n Pick: Orioles Moneyline +102 (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Orioles -124)<\/p>\n 6:40 PM Eastern<\/p>\n Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates<\/p>\n Pirates starter Carmen Mlodzinski has a 6.95 ERA, but a much more reasonable 3.84 FIP, with only two home runs allowed over five starts. Cubs starter Matthew Boyd looks due for regression: his ERA sits at 2.54, but his FIP is 4.02. Fortunately for him, he\u2019s facing a Pirates lineup that ranks 25th in runs per game at just 3.5.<\/p>\n Pick: Under 9 Runs (Greg\u2019s Handicapped Total: 8.3)<\/p>\n Cardinals pitcher Steven Matz has a sparkling 1.80 ERA this season, but his effectiveness in a starter\u2019s role is questionable. He\u2019s made only one start this year, and his ERA as a starter was 6.12 in 2024 and 4.04 in 2023, compared to 2.81 and 2.25 coming out of the bullpen in those respective seasons. Reds starter Andrew Abbott owns a 3.60 ERA with 12 strikeouts per nine and is backed by a bullpen with a 3.46 ERA, while the Cardinals bullpen ranks 25th at 4.80.<\/p>\n Pick: Reds Moneyline -125 (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Reds -146)<\/p>\n 7:40 PM Eastern<\/p>\n Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago White Sox<\/p>\n Since debuting in 2024, Brewers pitcher Tobias Myers has been excellent with a 3.04 ERA, 8.2 strikeouts, and 2.5 walks per nine. White Sox starter Shane Smith has been effective so far (2.30 ERA), but his 3.32 FIP suggests regression is coming. He\u2019s averaging three walks and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings and is backed by a lineup that\u2019s scoring just 3.5 runs per game at home \u2014 second-worst in the league.<\/p>\n Pick: Brewers -1.5 Run Line +100 (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Brewers -1.5 -137)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"MLB Picks Today: Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Wednesday, April 30.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1639,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[5,44,4,163,164],"class_list":{"0":"post-1638","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mlb","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-featured","10":"tag-mlb","11":"tag-mlb-best-bets","12":"tag-mlb-picks"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/114427138126736652","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1638","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1638"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1638\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1639"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1638"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1638"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1638"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}