MLB Picks Today:<\/p>\n
Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Sunday, May 4.<\/p>\n
Check out Greg\u2019s\u00a0Daily MLB Lines<\/a>\u00a0and his\u00a0Baseball Betting Show Podcast<\/a>. Also, check out our\u00a0MLB Betting Splits<\/a>.<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n 1:15 PM Eastern<\/p>\n This is the MLB debut of Mets starting pitcher Blade Tidwell, who at the minor league level is posting a 5.00 ERA this season. Over his career in the minors, he\u2019s averaged 4.7 walks per nine innings. Cardinals starter Erick Fedde, meanwhile, has just 4.7 strikeouts per nine innings with a 4.68 ERA, but has done a solid job keeping the ball in the park, allowing just 0.8 home runs per nine innings.<\/p>\n Picks: Cardinals Moneyline +115 and Over 8.5 Runs (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Cardinals -104, Total 9.1)<\/p>\n 1:35 PM Eastern<\/p>\n New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays<\/p>\n Yankees starter Will Warren has struggled with control, issuing 4.5 walks per nine innings, contributing to a 5.63 ERA. Rays starter Taj Bradley carries a 4.58 ERA and has seen his strikeout rate drop to 7.4 per nine innings after posting 10 or more in each of the previous two seasons.<\/p>\n Pick: Rays Moneyline +158 (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Rays +127)<\/p>\n Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox<\/p>\n Though Twins starter Chris Paddack has a rough 5.60 ERA and has allowed three home runs in his past three starts, he\u2019s given up only four total runs in those games, suggesting the ERA might be a bit misleading. Red Sox starter Garrett Crochet has been dominant with a 2.05 ERA, though his 3.7 walks per nine innings are a concern\u2014especially with a bullpen that ranks 17th in the league with a 4.05 ERA.<\/p>\n Pick: Over 8 Runs (Greg\u2019s Handicapped Total: 8.6)<\/p>\n Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles<\/p>\n Orioles starter Kyle Gibson was torched for nine runs and five home runs in his first start of 2025 after posting a 4.24 ERA and allowing 1.2 home runs per nine innings last year with the Cardinals. Royals starter Michael Lorenzen has been steadier with a 3.48 ERA, 7.5 strikeouts, and 3.5 walks per nine innings, though he\u2019s supported by a lineup that ranks 28th in offense with just under 3.2 runs per game.<\/p>\n Picks: Royals Moneyline +112 and Under 9.5 Runs (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Royals -108, Total 8.6)<\/p>\n 1:40 PM Eastern<\/p>\n Oakland Athletics vs. Miami Marlins<\/p>\n Marlins starter Edward Cabrera has struggled in his first four outings with a 7.23 ERA, 5.3 walks, and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Athletics starter JP Sears owns a 4.79 FIP with 1.5 home runs per nine innings and is backed by a bullpen with a 4.40 ERA, while the Marlins rank 28th in team ERA at 5.13 entering Saturday.<\/p>\n Pick: Marlins Moneyline +118 (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Marlins -102)<\/p>\n 2:05 PM Eastern<\/p>\n Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies<\/p>\n Phillies starter Ranger Su\u00e1rez makes his season debut after logging a 3.46 ERA last year and allowing just 0.8 home runs per nine innings. However, his 5.65 ERA after the All-Star Break is a red flag. Diamondbacks starter Eduardo Rodriguez has been unlucky so far this year with a 6.06 ERA despite a solid 4.04 FIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings.<\/p>\n Pick: Under 9 Runs (Greg\u2019s Handicapped Total: 8.7)<\/p>\n 2:10 PM Eastern<\/p>\n Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers<\/p>\n The Cubs entered the weekend leading MLB in runs per game, averaging over 6.1. Brewers starter Freddy Peralta has a 2.52 ERA but a 3.77 FIP, and his 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings would be a career low. Cubs starter Shota Imanaga has been lucky so far, posting a 2.77 ERA despite a 4.87 FIP. He has just 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings and is allowing 1.6 home runs per nine.<\/p>\n Picks: Brewers Moneyline -105 and Over 7.5 Runs (Greg\u2019s Handicap: Brewers -116, Total 7.8)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"MLB Picks Today: Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Sunday, May 4.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2965,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[5,44,4,163,164],"class_list":{"0":"post-2964","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mlb","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-featured","10":"tag-mlb","11":"tag-mlb-best-bets","12":"tag-mlb-picks"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/114449350911938652","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2964","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2964"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2964\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2965"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2964"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2964"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2964"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}