{"id":514510,"date":"2026-01-11T04:11:34","date_gmt":"2026-01-11T04:11:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/514510\/"},"modified":"2026-01-11T04:11:34","modified_gmt":"2026-01-11T04:11:34","slug":"40-in-40-emerson-hancocks-2026-season-will-be-golden","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/514510\/","title":{"rendered":"40 in 40: Emerson Hancock\u2019s 2026 season will be Golden"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Brussels sprouts, my sister\u2019s boyfriend, yoga, the television show Letterkenny, most weird chip flavors, The Ballad of Dood &amp; Juanita, and Emerson Hancock.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">It was not my intention to cultivate any affinity for this Georgia fella, but by the time we closed out the 2025 season it seemed that prolonged exposure had worked its magic once again. For six years, the deck had been stacked against him. Hancock, like many in that 2020 draft class, suffers a bit from our collective mid-pandemic fugue state. With the cancellation of the college and minor league seasons that year, the draft felt a bit like being gifted a printout of your present and being told it would arrive in 6-10 weeks. It\u2019s hard to get excited for something you can\u2019t see, even if that something is a 6\u20194, sixth overall pick with a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lookoutlanding.com\/2020\/6\/11\/21287568\/analyzing-emerson-hancocks-fastball-seattle-mariners-draft-pick-georgia\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">tantalizing fastball<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Unfortunately for Hancock, it isn\u2019t just exposure that has endeared him to me; it\u2019s his precipitous descent into a mire of mediocrity. In nearly 163 innings in the major leagues, Hancock has been worth 0.1 fWAR. Baseball Reference, gauging more off outcomes than process, has him at -0.7. Last year, he was given more opportunities than anyone may have hoped, as the Mariners\u2019 rotation fell victim to injury after injury. In his 90 innings of work, he put up a 5.08 FIP, a 4.90 ERA, a 4.61 xFIP, gave up 1.5 home runs every nine innings and 93 total hits. Regardless of your preferred metrics, he wasn\u2019t very good. Perhaps most telling was how the M\u2019s chose to use him, which was with impunity. They used him like he was Christian Bergman or Chase De Jong or Tommy Milone, or any of the other ignominious swingmen of years past who lurk eternally in the recesses of my brain. They certainly did not treat him like a number one pick.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Bulldog has become an underdog. (No one would ever accuse me of having good taste.)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Over the course of the 2025 season, I developed a strange soft spot for the guy who kept stepping in as the need arose. He started, he relieved, he put his body out there whenever he was called upon, and in a period when eating innings was at a premium, he ground it out to the best of his abilities. The hard part was that it wasn\u2019t always (often? mostly? usually?) enough. I watched his starts and remembered filling the gaping pushpin holes in my postgrad apartment in Fremont, when I hadn\u2019t bought a putty knife and was left to smear spackle on the walls like finger-paint. It mostly got the job done, but it didn\u2019t look very good and in some instances the dried rubble left behind was worse than the original holes. There were periods of promise in Hancock\u2019s 2025 performance: He maintained a higher velocity over extended periods of time, he debuted a pair of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lookoutlanding.com\/2025\/3\/31\/24397623\/armed-with-new-pitches-and-new-confidence-emerson-hancock-looks-like-hes-having-fun\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">new pitches<\/a> &#8211; a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lookoutlanding.com\/2025\/2\/27\/24374246\/emerson-hancock-pitch-arsenal-sweeper-cutter-spring-training\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sweeper and cutter<\/a>, and he stayed healthy. But none of it made a demonstrable difference.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Hancock is a perfect case study for all that is exciting and aggravating in our ever-growing understanding of pitching. When he was drafted in 2020, his four-seamer drew comparisons to Justin Verlander, with a tantalizingly high spin rate. Now, it\u2019s more akin to George Kirby\u2019s, but without that career-altering command. We\u2019ve learned that there\u2019s more to spin rate than a pitch\u2019s RPMs; Hancock\u2019s arm angle and release point, coupled with that high spin rate, actually produce an impressively flat fastball, that spirals right over the heart of the plate. You watch Hancock pitch with his lanky body and smooth movement, and it\u2019s maddening! Why is the person who was supposed to pitch well faring so poorly? Why can\u2019t he fix things &#8211; his release point, the shape of his sweeper, anything &#8211; and become better? It feels like success should be right there on the horizon, but it keeps disappearing as you approach. There\u2019s nothing lurking in the tapes, no hidden gems on Baseball Savant or secret tips buried within FanGraphs &#8211; I even asked former pitcher and fellow writer John Trupin, who shrugged and said, \u201cAll his pitches are just kind of fine.\u201d That\u2019s the type of analysis y\u2019all pay the big bucks for. But truly, that does seem to be it and, unfortunately, fine just doesn\u2019t cut it in the bigs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">2026 is Hancock\u2019s Golden Baseball Season: His age 26 season as #26, made all the more powerful by the propitious alignment of the calendar year. Left with no other options, perhaps this fateful numerology will be the key to Hancock finding big league success (whether that\u2019s with the Mariners or a change of scenery). It certainly can\u2019t hurt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Brussels sprouts, my sister\u2019s boyfriend, yoga, the television show Letterkenny, most weird chip flavors, The Ballad of Dood&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":514511,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2392],"tags":[66354,5,620,4,619,65,38419,3235],"class_list":{"0":"post-514510","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-seattle-mariners","8":"tag-40-in-40","9":"tag-baseball","10":"tag-mariners","11":"tag-mlb","12":"tag-seattle","13":"tag-seattle-mariners","14":"tag-seattle-mariners-previews","15":"tag-seattlemariners"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/115874515048169615","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/514510","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=514510"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/514510\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/514511"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=514510"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=514510"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=514510"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}