{"id":523307,"date":"2026-01-16T11:10:33","date_gmt":"2026-01-16T11:10:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/523307\/"},"modified":"2026-01-16T11:10:33","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T11:10:33","slug":"jj-wetherholt-is-your-top-prospect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/523307\/","title":{"rendered":"JJ Wetherholt is your top prospect"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">On Monday, the expected happened. There was overwhelming support for JJ Wetherholt as the #1 prospect in the Cardinals system. It is unknown whether or not Wetherholt will make the Opening Day roster, but it seems pretty clear to me that Wetherholt is definitely ready. That\u2019s not something you can say about probably any other prospect in the system. For that alone, him being number one makes sense.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">For this round, I have decided to add two pitchers and if you read Monday\u2019s post, you probably know who I\u2019m adding. I didn\u2019t name them, but it doesn\u2019t exactly take a detective to figure them out. The first addition is Quinn Mathews, namely because he was voted as the #2 prospect in the system on last year\u2019s list. He only wasn\u2019t included in the initial vote because I wanted to include all three catchers so as to not show favoritism to any of them.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">And the second pitcher I\u2019m adding is Brandon Clarke, who was part of the return for Sonny Gray. Clarke is being added because I have no reference point on what this community thinks of him. Also he\u2019s either a top 100 prospect or close to one depending on the site you use. Just to hammer home my logic of my first seven picks, Wetherholt, Mathews, and Jimmy Crooks were all top 5 last year, Liam Doyle and Clarke are brand new to the Cardinal organization and unknows, and both Leonardo Bernal and Raniel Rodriguez were included already because I thought all three catchers were lumped roughly together and leaving off one indicates who I think is the worst prospect, even if not intentionally.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">There is an argument for a couple other prospects to be on this particular vote and I acknowledge that, but I don\u2019t think anyone else has a serious chance at being voted as the #2 prospect in the system. So whether or not you think someone is missing because you think they should be top 7 is irrelevant. As long as you think they will never be #2 is all that matters.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">And I apologize for those who didn\u2019t get the chance to vote. The site I picked out was essentially a free trial and expired after a certain amount of votes. Wetherholt was far and way the most popular pick, so thankfully I learned that on a vote where more votes wouldn\u2019t make an impact. I am still trying to figure out the best poll for these votes. If you didn\u2019t know, SB Nation switched from Chorus to WordPress recently and there is no poll option naturally in at least this version of WordPress. So I\u2019m finding outside help and it\u2019s harder than you\u2019d think. Moving onto the voting.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Stats (AA): 107 G, 455 PAs, .247\/.332\/.394, 10.8 BB%, 16.9 K%, .146 ISO, .274 BABIP, 103 wRC+<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Scouting (FG): 35\/50 Hit, 35\/45 Game Power, 50\/50 Raw Power, 40\/30 Speed, 40\/55 Fielding<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Bernal, from a scouting perspective, and to some degree for his stats themselves, seems to be at least average at every element of being a catcher. None of his specific tools stand out too much &#8211; Crooks later will have 70 potential fielding and obviously Rodriguez has the bat &#8211; but that kind of well-rounded game should bode nicely. That said, his drop-off in the 2nd half of last season could create some doubts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Stats (Low A): 3 GS, 9.2 IP, 47.2 K%, 5.6 BB%, 68.8 GB%, .125 BABIP, 0.93 ERA\/0.98 FIP\/1.32 xFIP<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">High A: 11 GS, 28.1 IP, 31.2 K%, 18.1 BB%, 62.5 GB%, .254 BABIP, 5.08 ERA\/4.17 FIP\/4.74 xFIP<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Scouting: 60\/60 Fastball, 70\/80 Slider, 40\/50 Change, 30\/40 Command<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Clarke was a 5th round pick from the 2024 draft. He had a whole bunch of injuries before he became a professional, requiring Tommy John as a junior in high school, and then thoracic issues in his left shoulder in college. So the Red Sox slow played him this past season, and this time he had issues with finger blisters, which ended his season in August.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">But he sure dominated Low A. I wonder if the Red Sox even planned for him to pitch in High A at the beginning of the year, but when your pitcher is striking out nearly half the batters he faces and anyone who makes contact is pounding it into the ground, well your hand is forced. He was less successful in High A, but still had a lot of strikeouts and a lot of groundballs. But the walks were an issue. I wonder what his innings target is with his injury history.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Stats (AAA): 98 G, 430 PAs, .274\/.337\/.441, 8.4 BB%, 26.5 K%, .167 ISO, .352 BABIP, 105 wRC+<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">MLB: 15 G, 46 PAs, .133\/.152\/.244, 0 BB%, 37 K%, .111 ISO, .185 BABIP, 5 wRC+<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Scouting: 35\/40 Hit, 40\/45 Game Power, 50\/50 Raw Power, 20\/20 Speed, 60\/70 Fielding<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Crooks\u2019 MLB performance at the plate probably created some doubters from Crooks. His inflated strikeout rate at AAA did not help. However, it\u2019s important to know that both Ivan Herrera and Carson Kelly spent multiple years in AAA. If he\u2019s not ready right now to hit MLB pitching, or at least doesn\u2019t seem it as of this voting, it would be fairly normal.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">And while maybe his bat has underwhelmed, the real appeal of Crooks lies in his defense. He would be a defense-first catcher, the question is will his bat paired with his defense be good enough to become a starter. He\u2019s got a pretty nice floor of a backup catcher, similar to Pedro Pages, who I compared Crooks to on Monday and in a positive way to be clear.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Stats (Both A and AA): 2 G, 3.2 IP, 40 K%, 13.3 BB%, 57.1 GB%, .333 BABIP, 2.45 ERA\/5.40 FIP\/1.86 xFIP<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Scouting: 70\/70 Fastball, 50\/60 Slider, 45\/55 Change, 30\/45 Command<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Oh man I\u2019ve been doing this for a few years and I am so used to bad fastballs in the scouting that it is a bit jarring to see a 70 fastball. I am not used to it. Granted, while other teams have prospects with good fastballs, being not used to 70 fastballs could apply to most fanbases. It\u2019s exceptional. It\u2019s not merely good. It\u2019s elite. It\u2019s considered one of the best fastballs in the majors right now.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">In fact, while those two appearances in the minor leagues tell us next to nothing, one thing this profile certainly shows us is that Liam Doyle could probably be a good, if not elite, reliever on Day One. That fastball alone could probably produce an effective reliever and combining it with the slider certainly plays. But obviously, the Cardinals are in it for the long haul. They want his command to improve and they want his change to improve.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Stats (AAA): 24 GS, 99 IP, 26.1 K%, 16.8 BB%, 41.8 GB%, .302 BABIP, 3.73 ERA\/4.30 FIP\/4.78 xFIP<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Scouting: 50\/55 Fastball, 50\/55 Slider, 45\/45 Curve, 60\/60 Change, 45\/60 Command<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Cardinals have done very well to put themselves into a position where Mathews can start the season in Memphis if they so chose. You can see an argument that Mathews is ready now, with a high strikeout rate and a good amount of grounders leading to a good ERA in a big hitting environment. At the same, you can look at the walks and the less impressive 4.78 xFIP and think he needs more seasoning. Spring training should tell us more, but I imagine he\u2019s headed for AAA without dominating spring training.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Stats (CPX): 20 G, 80 PAs, .373\/.513\/.831, 20 BB%, 18.8 K%, .458 ISO, .385 BABIP, 238 wRC+<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Low A: 60 G, 271 PAs, .249\/.373\/.498, 14 BB%, 17.7 K%, .249 ISO, .261 BABIP, 145 wRC+<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Scouting: 25\/50 Hit, 20\/55 Game Power, 50\/55 Raw Power, 45\/40 Speed, 40\/60 Fielding<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">You know there\u2019s a funny thing about scouting. I get where the potential comes in &#8211; most sites roughly agree with a prospect\u2019s potential. It\u2019s easy enough to wrap my head around when I see a 55 potential for power or 50 potential for a hit tool. Where I notice some weird elements is in the current element of the scouting. As in I do not believe Rodriguez has 20 game power right now. I don\u2019t know where he came up with that number. However else he would do in the major leagues, I don\u2019t think his power would be comparable to David Eckstein. I think he would hit some homers, maybe nothing close to what he\u2019s doing in the minors, but a 20? That suggests absolutely no power whatsoever.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Anyway, I\u2019ll probably be commenting on weird scouting grades all voting, because it\u2019s an easy thing for me to rant about. This is but one of many.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Alright here is an attempt at using yet another site for voting. Let\u2019s see if it works. Once again, as of me writing this, my site does not appear to be working so hopefully it works better on your end.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">(I can\u2019t get a poll embedded, so you\u2019ll just have to click the link. Multiple people have now voted, so it seems to be working)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/strawpoll.com\/e2naXejDwyB\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/strawpoll.com\/e2naXejDwyB<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"On Monday, the expected happened. There was overwhelming support for JJ Wetherholt as the #1 prospect in the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":523308,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2403],"tags":[5,160,4,6213,673,67,4311,4310,38503],"class_list":{"0":"post-523307","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-st-louis-cardinals","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-cardinals","10":"tag-mlb","11":"tag-st-louis-cardinals-news","12":"tag-st-louis","13":"tag-st-louis-cardinals","14":"tag-stlouis","15":"tag-stlouiscardinals","16":"tag-veb-daily"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/115904474251716758","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/523307","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=523307"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/523307\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/523308"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=523307"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=523307"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=523307"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}