{"id":544916,"date":"2026-01-30T00:25:17","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T00:25:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/544916\/"},"modified":"2026-01-30T00:25:17","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T00:25:17","slug":"prospect-lists-show-royals-system-is-top-heavy-still-needing-progress","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/544916\/","title":{"rendered":"Prospect lists show Royals system is top-heavy, still needing progress"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">It is prospect list season! The Royals have a few names that rank highly on lists, providing reasons for optimism. But despite signs of improvement, it is clear that the team still needs more progress to become a sustainable winner.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Baseball America is the gold standard of prospect lists, release their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/rankings\/2026-top-100-prospects\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2026 update last week<\/a>. They are quite high on Royals catcher Carter Jensen, ranking him #11 among all prospects. Other than Bobby Witt Jr.\u2019s #3 ranking in 2022, it is the highest a Royals prospect has ranked in a Baseball America preseason ranking in the last dozen years. Jensen hit .290\/.377\/.501 with 20 home runs in 111 games across Double-A and Triple-A, then joined the Royals in September and impressed, hitting .300\/.391\/.550 with three home runs in 20 games.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Pitcher Kendry Chourio also broke into the top 100 prospect list at #82, after being aggressively promoted this year. He went from the Dominican Summer League, to the Arizona Complex League, finishing with six starts at Low-A Columbia, all at age 17. With the Fireflies, he posted a 5.16 ERA but with 24 strikeouts and just 4 walks in 22.2 innings. The publication singles him out as a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/stories\/10-players-primed-to-rise-in-our-2026-top-100-mlb-prospects-ranking\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">prospect who could be a riser this year<\/a>, writing he \u201cblends now stuff with uncommon poise into a skill set,\u201d and that a strong season could give him \u201ca case as the sport\u2019s best pitching prospect.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Baseball America pre-season top 100 rankings for Royals prospects<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.royalsreview.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/140\/2026\/01\/prospects.png?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100\" data-pswp-height=\"483\" data-pswp-width=\"834\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/prospects.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Just missing the top 100 prospect list was pitcher David Shields, who also impressed this year at a very young age. The 18-year-old left-hander posted a sensational 2.01 ERA with 81 strikeouts and just 15 walks in 71.2 innings. In their article about the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/stories\/20-mlb-prospects-who-just-missed-the-2026-top-100\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">prospects that just missed<\/a>, Josh Norris writes that he \u201cdoesn\u2019t have the kind of blow-away stuff as some of the other pitchers in the minors, but his pitchability and command should help him become a mid-rotation starter in a few years.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">MLB Pipeline also came out with <a href=\"https:\/\/go.skimresources.com\/?id=1025X1734621&amp;xs=1&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mlb.com%2Fmilb%2Fprospects%2F2026%2Ftop100%2F\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">their prospect list<\/a> last week, with Jensen ranked #18 and former first-round pick Blake Mitchell ranked #75. Mitchell had a tough start to his 2025 season, suffering a wrist injury in spring training that kept him out for the first half of the season. When he returned, he continued to show a very patient eye at the plate, but his power was sapped as it often is for players returning from wrist injuries. The 20-year-old catcher hit .207\/.372\/.296 with two home runs in 49 games for High-A Quad Cities. Mitchell was ranked #48 by the publication last year, and was ranked #75 by Baseball America last year before falling off their list this season.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Keith Law has high praise for Jensen, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6985939\/2026\/01\/26\/top-mlb-prospects-2026-keith-law-konnor-griffin\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ranking him #10 overall<\/a>. He writes the 22-year-old is a \u201clegit Rookie of the Year candidate this year as a true catcher who could hit 20 homers with a strong OBP, and with 3-plus WAR potential right away thanks to the defense and positional adjustment.\u201d He ranks Mitchell #56, despite what he calls a \u201clost year.\u201d Law believes Mitchell is \u201cthe best defensive catcher in the Royals\u2019 system, a plus receiver and framer with at least a 60 arm, and has the raw power to be a regular at the position even if he doesn\u2019t hit for a high average.\u201d He also ranks Chourio #61, writing that although there are injury concerns when a pitcher his age throws so hard, he is \u201ceverything you\u2019d want to see in a young pitching prospect, including the potential upside of 80 command.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Kiley McDaniel at ESPN had Jensen as the only Royals prospect in his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/story\/_\/id\/47684202\/top-100-mlb-prospects-2026-kiley-mcdaniel-konnor-griffin-kevin-mcgonigle-jesus-made\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">top 100 list<\/a> at #25, but he ranked Kendry Chourio (#124), Josh Hammond (#132), and Blake Mitchell (#143) in his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/story\/_\/id\/47684209\/top-100-mlb-prospects-2026-kiley-mcdaniel-101-200-rankings-superlatives\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">101-200 list<\/a>. He had high praise for Chourio, writing the right-hander \u201chas the elements to become a front-line starter I\u2019m looking for: enough velocity, plenty of command, the potential for three above-average pitch shapes and surface number performance.\u201d But he adds that the right-hander needs to tweak his \u201cbreaking ball shapes.\u201d Curiously omitted from the ranking is Shields.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">As for the overall state of the Royals\u2019 farm system, they still seem to rank in the bottom third. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/story\/_\/id\/47684217\/2026-mlb-prospect-rankings-farm-systems-kiley-mcdaniel-brewers-guardians-pirates-dodgers-mets\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">McDaniel ranks them #24<\/a>, praising top prospects Jensen and Chourio and their draft picks of Hammond and pitcher Michael Lombardi. But he writes, \u201cthe rest of the system is made up of mostly role players and higher-variance types.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Jon Hoefling of USA Today came out with a <a href=\"https:\/\/go.skimresources.com\/?id=1025X1734621&amp;xs=1&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.usatoday.com%2Fstory%2Fsports%2Fmlb%2F2026%2F01%2F22%2Fmlb-farm-system-power-rankings-2026%2F88253266007%2F\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">farm system ranking last week<\/a>, putting the Royals at #26, writing, \u201cthey might have a dry spell of great prospects coming to the big leagues for a few years. However, in his top five list of Royals prospects, he omits Chourio or Shields, instead listing Jensen, Mitchell, 2025 first-round picks Sean Gamble and Josh Hammond, and 19-year-old shortstop Yandel Ricardo.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">MLB Pipeline last August <a href=\"https:\/\/go.skimresources.com\/?id=1025X1734621&amp;xs=1&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mlb.com%2Fnews%2Ffarm-system-rankings-2025-midseason\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ranked the Royals #26<\/a>, although they write the Royals had \u201cone of the most interesting and dynamic international classes of 2025\u201d that netted Chourio. A recent MLB Pipeline poll of executives regarding relative strengths of farm systems <a href=\"https:\/\/go.skimresources.com\/?id=1025X1734621&amp;xs=1&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mlb.com%2Fnews%2Ffront-office-executives-poll-for-farm-systems-2026\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">did not mention the Royals at all<\/a>. Kiley McDaniel at ESPN <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/story\/_\/id\/46070464\/2025-mlb-prospect-rankings-update-farm-systems-30-teams-mets-dodgers-mariners\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ranked the Royals #27<\/a> last August, writing, \u201cHammond and Gamble could be the high-end prospects needed to pull this system out of the bottom third of the league.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Prospects1500 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.prospects1500.com\/milb\/2025-end-of-season-farm-system-rankings-30-16\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ranked the Royals #26<\/a> at the end of last season, writing that if \u201cKendry Chourio continues his breakout and Blake Mitchell can bounce back after an injury-filled 2025, the top of this system could look stronger this time next year. Fangraphs has farm system rankings based on Future Value metrics of top prospects in each system, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/prospects\/farm-system-rankings\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ranking the Royals 28th<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Royals are one of six clubs to place just two prospects on the Baseball America list, with the Diamondbacks, Braves, Cubs, Phillies, and Rangers. Three clubs &#8211; the Rockies, Angels, and Padres &#8211; have just one prospect, and the Astros have none.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">You could argue that the Royals\u2019 farm system ranking is low because they graduated players to the big league roster. But that isn\u2019t quite accurate. Jac Caglianone has graduated from lists, but other homegrown players have been in the big leagues for a significant amount of time &#8211; Bobby Witt Jr., Vinnie Pasquantino, and Maikel Garcia have all spent at least three full seasons in the big leagues. Noah Cameron and Freddy Fermin are the only significant players who have debuted in the last three seasons. Besides, a successful small market team needs to continually produce prospects to build a sustainable winner. Having a farm system that has dry spells will lead to a thin roster.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">But there is reason to think things are turning a corner for the Royals. They have taken a more data-driven approach since J.J. Picollo took the helm, and have been more aggressive in spending in the international market, landing top prospects like Ricardo, Chourio, and shortstop Warren Calca\u00f1o. Scouting director Brian Bridges took over after the 2023 season, and his first two draft classes have an intriguing mix of prospects that includes Caglianone, Shields, Gamble, Hammond, and pitcher Drew Beam.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Still, the Royals have a long way to go before they are even close to the top farm systems in baseball. And unlike the free agent market, the financial disparities haven\u2019t made it impossible for small-market teams to compete for prospects. The Guardians are tied for the most prospects on Baseball America\u2019s list with six, with the Brewers and Marlins close behind at five. Kiley McDaniel tweeted that the <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/kileymcd\/status\/2014169150587855261\" rel=\"nofollow\">Brewers will rank #1<\/a> when he comes out with his overall farm system rankings.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Until the Royals can consistently produce impact talent year after year, and not just rely on the occasional standout prospect, the farm will remain closer to the bottom than the top of industry rankings. Progress is evident, but sustainability remains the real test.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"It is prospect list season! The Royals have a few names that rank highly on lists, providing reasons&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":428000,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2290],"tags":[5,4192],"class_list":{"0":"post-544916","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-baseball","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-royals-minor-leagues-prospects"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/115981211857651435","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/544916","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=544916"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/544916\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/428000"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=544916"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=544916"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=544916"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}