{"id":562330,"date":"2026-02-09T13:40:17","date_gmt":"2026-02-09T13:40:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/562330\/"},"modified":"2026-02-09T13:40:17","modified_gmt":"2026-02-09T13:40:17","slug":"colorado-rockies-news-a-quick-fix-for-rockies-starting-pitching-ditch-the-four-seamers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/562330\/","title":{"rendered":"Colorado Rockies news: A Quick Fix for Rockies Starting Pitching: Ditch the Four-Seamers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">THIS IS A GUEST ROCKPILE BY HC WERNER<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">While a great many things need to go wrong for a starting pitching staff to rock a historically bad 6.65 ERA for the season, an outsized reason for the 2025 Rockies\u2019 starting pitching woes was their over-reliance on bad four-seam fastballs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Fangraphs has a stat, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=y&amp;type=7&amp;season=2025&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2025&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0%2Cts&amp;stats=sta&amp;sortcol=1&amp;sortdir=asc&amp;pagenum=1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">wFB<\/a>, which is used to measure how effective fastballs are against hitters. A positive number indicates how many runs above average were prevented, while a negative number demonstrates how many more runs than average were allowed by fastballs. The League average is zero.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Here are the starting staffs with the worst four-seam fastballs in baseball last year:<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.purplerow.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/128\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-08-at-2.42.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100\" data-pswp-height=\"514\" data-pswp-width=\"568\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-08-at-2.42.50\u202fPM.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">These numbers mean that, over the course of a full 162-game season, Rockies starters gave up almost a full run more than average every game from just their four-seam fastballs alone.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">This is especially wild when you consider the rotation pitched the second fewest innings in baseball, averaging a just over 4.2 innings per start.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Fastballs from Rockies\u2019 starters gave up more than three times more runs above average than the next worse teams.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?month=1000&amp;pos=all&amp;type=4&amp;startdate=2025-03-27&amp;enddate=2025-11-01&amp;season=2025&amp;season1=2025&amp;ind=0&amp;stats=sta&amp;team=0%2Cts&amp;sortcol=1&amp;sortdir=asc&amp;pagenum=1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The league-wide numbers from 2025<\/a> show that the average MLB starter threw a four-seam fastball 47.5% of the time. Colorado starters snuck into the top 10 for usage, hurling four-seamers just over half the time (50.1%).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Not only did Rockies starters have truly gag-inducing results with their four-seam fastballs, they threw them more than league average!<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Opposing batters could simply hunt for a heater, and they\u2019d get it more than half of the time. Given the continued reliance on traditional fastball usage in the face of such poor results, it makes sense that <a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20251022221344\/https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6680162\/2025\/10\/01\/colorado-rockies-mlb-monfort-schmidt-fix\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">league executives described the Rockies\u2019 analytical approach<\/a> as \u201cin the Stone Ages\u201d and \u201cliterally 20 years behind the rest of the league in terms of analytics, infrastructure, everything.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">While much can be said for the <a href=\"https:\/\/baseball.physics.illinois.edu\/Denver.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">difficulties of pitching at elevation<\/a> and how <a href=\"https:\/\/www.purplerow.com\/2023\/8\/15\/23652004\/colorado-rockies-pitching-at-altitude-part-2-mile-high-fastballs\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">pitchers can adjust their fastballs at altitude to find better success<\/a>, there\u2019s a relatively easy and quick fix for the 2026 starting staff to embrace: Stop throwing the damn four-seamers (as much).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Luckily, new pitching coach Alon Leichman, coming over from the Miami Marlins, has some experience with diversifying pitch mixes. Marlins starters, with their relatively scant 40.1% four-seam usage, threw the second fewest four-seamers in the league. Additionally in 2025 the Marlins organization began<a href=\"https:\/\/go.skimresources.com\/?id=1025X1734621&amp;xs=1&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mlb.com%2Fnews%2Fmarlins-coaches-call-pitches-in-12-inning-win-vs-rangers\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> tinkering with using analytics to call pitches from the dugout<\/a> in both the minor leagues and the majors. If Leichman were willing to embrace analytics to such an extent that he\u2019d break with over a century of tradition and call pitches from the dugout, surely he\u2019d use data to better optimize the Rockies\u2019 pitch mix in 2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Additionally, neither wFB or wFB\/C are predictive stats: They describe what happened, but they don\u2019t project how effective a fastball might be in the coming season. The Rockies are not necessarily fated to have the worst fastball in the league for the second year in a row, especially if they throw more offspeed pitches to keep opposing batters honest.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">With the hiring of Alon Leichman specifically (and the new, Paul DePodesta-led front office hires more generally), the Rockies finally seem to be joining the analytics revolution. We don\u2019t know if Leichman will bring the dugout pitch-calling to the Rockies (he hinted it was possible at Rockies Fest last month), nor if they\u2019ll embrace the so-called \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/go.skimresources.com\/?id=1025X1734621&amp;xs=1&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mlb.com%2Fnews%2Fmlb-pitch-arsenals-are-bigger-than-ever-in-2025\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Year of the Pitch Mix<\/a>\u201d (although the signing of <a href=\"https:\/\/baseballsavant.mlb.com\/savant-player\/michael-lorenzen-547179?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Michael Lorenzen<\/a> seems promising in this regard), nor if they can help Chase Dollander limit the longball (72% of his homers were off of his flaming four-seamer).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">What we do know is that Leichman and the Rockies new front office will use and embrace pitching analytics in ways we\u2019ve never seen with the club. We can only hope that means fewer four-seamers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">What do you think? Will the new direction for the staff allow Rockies starters to right the ship, or will the pain of a 6.00+ ERA continue for another season?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Let us know in the comments below!<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2026\/02\/rockies-sign-conner-capel-to-minor-league-contract.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rockies Sign Conner Capel To Minor League Contract | MLB Trade Rumors<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Rockies\u2019 outfield depth just got deeper with the signing of Conner Capel. Given his .234\/.314\/.360 line last year with the Atlanta Braves\u2019 AAA affiliate and the apparent lack of a Spring Training invite, Capel seems to be minor league depth for the organization, which already has a glut of outfielders vying for playing time at the big league level.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.denverpost.com\/2026\/02\/06\/rockies-starting-pitching-experiment-spring-training\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rockies\u2019 \u2018funky, wacky\u2019 starting pitching experiment begins at spring training | The Denver Post ($)<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Patrick Saunders talked with Rockies\u2019 pitchers and pitching coaches about the new ideas floating around this year\u2019s Spring Training. While there\u2019s a big emphasis on expanding pitch arsenals and pounding the strike zone, the general philosophy seems to be experimenting and seeing what sticks. The titular quote comes from team veteran and Denver native Kyle Freeland, who says it\u2019s \u201cextremely refreshing\u201d to see these sorts of \u201cfunky, wacky ideas\u2026 thrown around in these conversations from the pitching side.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/mlb\/rockies\/onsi\/news\/rockies-free-agent-options-dwindling-as-spring-training-approaches\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rockies Free Agent Options Dwindling as Spring Training Approaches | Sports Illustrated<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">With the departures of both Michael Toglia and Warming Bernabel earlier in the offseason, it seemed like the team might be in the market for a veteran first baseman. Scott Roche over at Sports Illustrated makes a case for signing Nathaniel Lowe, who split time with Boston and Washington last year. I myself think the club would be better served letting Blaine Crim, Troy Johnston, T.J. Rumfield, and Edouard Julien battle it out in camp.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Please keep in mind our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.purplerow.com\/pages\/purple-row-rules-and-regulations\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Purple Row Community Guidelines<\/a> when you\u2019re commenting. Thanks!<a href=\"http:\/\/www.purplerow.com\/rockies-news\/79788\/forecasting-the-colorado-rockies-positional-stability#comments\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/www.purplerow.com\/rockies-news\/79832\/two-bright-spots-in-a-lost-season-for-the-colorado-rockies-victor-vodnik-jordan-beck#comments\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"THIS IS A GUEST ROCKPILE BY HC WERNER While a great many things need to go wrong for&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":562331,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2405],"tags":[5,167,52,4316,4,168,38579],"class_list":{"0":"post-562330","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-colorado-rockies","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-colorado","10":"tag-colorado-rockies","11":"tag-coloradorockies","12":"tag-mlb","13":"tag-rockies","14":"tag-rockpile"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116040960714778045","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/562330","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=562330"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/562330\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/562331"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=562330"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=562330"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=562330"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}