{"id":565563,"date":"2026-02-11T04:51:29","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T04:51:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/565563\/"},"modified":"2026-02-11T04:51:29","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T04:51:29","slug":"baseball-prospectus-predicts-disastrous-season-for-the-st-louis-cardinals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/565563\/","title":{"rendered":"Baseball Prospectus Predicts Disastrous Season for the St. Louis Cardinals"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I think it\u2019s safe to say that many of us have our expectations set low for the upcoming St. Louis Cardinals season based on the newness of the rebuild process that\u2019s underway, but it appears that we\u2019re likely wildly optimistic compared to the new projections just shared by Baseball Prospectus.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The individual player breakdowns are interesting as they see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballprospectus.com\/player\/110017\/ivan-herrera\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ivan Herrera<\/a> being in the lineup as a catcher only 20% of the time with 60% of his appearances coming as a designated hitter. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballprospectus.com\/player\/161814\/jj-wetherholt\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">JJ Wetherholt<\/a> is predicted to be at second base 70% of his appearances with 5% also being at third base and another 5% at shortstop. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballprospectus.com\/player\/144454\/pedro-pages\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Pedro Pag\u00e9s<\/a> is seen as the St. Louis Cardinals primary catcher behind the plate for 50% of his games. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballprospectus.com\/player\/121931\/nolan-gorman\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nolan Gorman<\/a> is projected as the team\u2019s third baseman only 60% of his games with 10% at first base, 5% at second base and 10% as the Cardinals DH. Anyone else expecting Nolan Gorman to be at first base much? I certainly don\u2019t.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I\u2019m not a gambler, but I\u2019d take the over on what they predict for the St. Louis Cardinals. They have the lowest projection of wins for the team that I\u2019ve seen so far this offseason and I believe that a 66 win campaign is way below what this team will achieve. If the St. Louis Cardinals team were a prospect, I\u2019d say that overall they have a high upside with lots of fundamental work to be done. No, I would not predict 2026 to be a \u201cwinning\u201d season when it comes to record, but I believe it will be the first really fruitful season we\u2019ve seen in the past 3 years when it comes to getting the organization pointed back toward their former winning ways. If Baseball Prospectus is right, it will be a painful one to watch.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">One other Cardinals news of note today is this. The St. Louis Cardinals today acquired right-handed pitcher <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/soriage01.shtml\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">George Soriano<\/a> in a trade with the Washington Nationals in exchange for right-handed pitcher <a href=\"https:\/\/go.skimresources.com\/?id=1025X1734621&amp;xs=1&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mlb.com%2Fplayer%2Fandre-granillo-701552\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Andre Granillo<\/a>. I\u2019m doubting that will change the Baseball Prospectus outlook for us much.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"I think it\u2019s safe to say that many of us have our expectations set low for the upcoming&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":565564,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2403],"tags":[5,160,4,673,67,65076,4311,4310],"class_list":{"0":"post-565563","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-st-louis-cardinals","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-cardinals","10":"tag-mlb","11":"tag-st-louis","12":"tag-st-louis-cardinals","13":"tag-st-louis-cardinals-analysis","14":"tag-stlouis","15":"tag-stlouiscardinals"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116050204050733351","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/565563","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=565563"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/565563\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/565564"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=565563"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=565563"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=565563"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}