{"id":566834,"date":"2026-02-11T20:30:16","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T20:30:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/566834\/"},"modified":"2026-02-11T20:30:16","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T20:30:16","slug":"why-im-unrealistically-optimistic-about-the-st-louis-cardinals-2026-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/566834\/","title":{"rendered":"Why I\u2019m Unrealistically Optimistic About the St. Louis Cardinals 2026 Season"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"\">Whenever I share content, I strive to make sure that it\u2019s based on facts. I need to disclose that this will not be based on many of those, but instead on my admittedly unrealistic optimism about the upcoming St. Louis Cardinals 2026 season.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Let\u2019s get the facts out of the way from the get go. As I mentioned yesterday, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vivaelbirdos.com\/st-louis-cardinals-analysis\/67333\/baseball-prospectus-predicts-disastrous-season-for-the-st-louis-cardinals\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:new PECOTA projections shared by Baseball Prospectus;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">new PECOTA projections shared by Baseball Prospectus<\/a> do not envision much happiness for the St. Louis Cardinals in 2026. They see the Cardinals as a 66-win team while <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.fangraphs.com\/zips-2026-movers-and-shakers-hitters\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:ZiPS;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">ZiPS<\/a> isn\u2019t much different. I have not come across any reliable baseball protagonist predicting anything above a .500 season for St. Louis and I don\u2019t disagree that the roster doesn\u2019t look like much on paper.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">So why am I so gosh-darned giddy about the St. Louis Cardinals 2026 season? I don\u2019t have a good answer other than to say that it\u2019s partially Spring\u2019s fault since the upcoming warmer weather months tend to put me in a better mood, but I have baseball reasons also. First, I haven\u2019t been this happy about St. Louis Cardinals baseball since 2022. The return of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/pujolal01.shtml\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Albert Pujols;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Albert Pujols<\/a> for his final season and the 700 home run chase was a blast. I was also naively thinking that the Goldschmidt\/Arenado era would bring us championship contention again. That was all dashed by the Philadelphia Phillies in the first round of the playoffs and I can\u2019t say I\u2019ve been very happy with the organization since. The past 3 seasons were an infuriating experiment in watching the baseball team I have cheered on since birth tread water and seem to accept mediocrity. I don\u2019t read minds, but I had the perception that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/cardinals\/team\/front-office\/john-mozeliak\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:John Mozeliak;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">John Mozeliak<\/a> and Cardinals ownership simply wanted a team that might be good enough to sneak into the playoffs instead of building a juggernaut that could contend against filthy-rich teams like the Dodgers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">New <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/news\/chaim-bloom-introduced-as-cardinals-president-of-baseball-operations\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:President of Baseball Operations Chaim Bloom;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">President of Baseball Operations Chaim Bloom<\/a> and his team have changed the atmosphere significantly by aggressively moving <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vivaelbirdos.com\/st-louis-cardinals-hot-stove-offseason\/65822\/report-st-louis-cardinals-trading-sonny-gray-to-boston-red-sox\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Sonny Gray;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Sonny Gray<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vivaelbirdos.com\/st-louis-cardinals-news\/66209\/reports-st-louis-cardinals-trade-willson-contreras-to-boston-red-sox\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Willson Contreras;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Willson Contreras<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vivaelbirdos.com\/st-louis-cardinals-rumors\/66010\/report-st-louis-cardinals-working-on-trading-nolan-arenado-to-the-arizona-diamondbacks\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Nolan Arenado;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Nolan Arenado<\/a> and their no-trade clauses elsewhere while restocking our minor league system with young blood. As the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stltoday.com\/sports\/professional\/mlb\/cardinals\/article_a8cbe23f-3abf-45fe-902d-d64306d9d235.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:St. Louis Post-Dispatch;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">St. Louis Post-Dispatch<\/a> reported a few days ago, the Cardinals farm system is now rated #2 in baseball by Baseball America, the highest it\u2019s been in 13 years. It\u2019s about dang freaking time, I say. We now possess the super-interesting <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=cijntj000jur\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Jurrangelo Cijntje;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Jurrangelo Cijntje<\/a> who may or may not continue <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/news\/jurrangelo-cijntje-pitches-with-both-hands-during-bullpen-session\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:his lefty\/righty pitching approach;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">his lefty\/righty pitching approach<\/a> in his St. Louis Cardinals progression, but his upside is tantalizing. Credit also to John Mozeliak for drafting <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=doyle-001lia\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Liam Doyle;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Liam Doyle<\/a> who will be infuriating opposing teams sometime in the next year or two. If you didn\u2019t get <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/carpech01.shtml\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Chris Carpenter;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Chris Carpenter<\/a> vibes listening to him answer questions during the Winter Warmup, you missed something awesome.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">As I look at the St. Louis Cardinals going into Spring Training, I can\u2019t wait to see what <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=wether000jj-\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:JJ Wetherholt;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">JJ Wetherholt<\/a> does with his open opportunity to make the starting day roster. I\u2019m also unrealistically hopeful that Nolan Gorman and Jordan Walker will find their sky high potential. I think it will be fun to see what Dustin May does now that he\u2019s a part of the St. Louis Cardinals and not those dastardly Dodgers. I also think this will be the year when <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/o\/obrieri01.shtml\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Riley O\u2019Brien;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Riley O\u2019Brien<\/a> becomes a feared closer. OK, so maybe feared is TOO optimistic, but I think he\u2019s someone the Cardinals can rely on to get them through this transitional rebuilding phase.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">What will be interesting to me will be how the overall St. Louis Cardinals fanbase shows up (or not) for the 2026 season. I know there are many who have anecdotally shared the bad vibes they overheard at many games last year. How many of them, I wonder, understand what Chaim Bloom has accomplished already and the big picture of where this will hopefully take the team? Are they excited to see the debut of JJ Wetherholt? I sure hope so. While I\u2019m not planning to concede losses before any games get played, I admit the St. Louis Cardinals will likely not be a contender this year. That does not diminish my newfound happiness that the turnaround has started and mediocrity is no longer good enough. I cannot wait to see where this takes us over the next few seasons.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Whenever I share content, I strive to make sure that it\u2019s based on facts. I need to disclose&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":566835,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2403],"tags":[7268,5,160,39,126,18050,10146,74633,4679,4,1028,1893,25,1587,673,67,4311,4310,70,409],"class_list":{"0":"post-566834","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-st-louis-cardinals","8":"tag-albert-pujols","9":"tag-baseball","10":"tag-cardinals","11":"tag-dodgers","12":"tag-dustin-may","13":"tag-jj-wetherholt","14":"tag-john-mozeliak","15":"tag-jonathan-dyer-imagn","16":"tag-jordan-walker","17":"tag-mlb","18":"tag-nolan-arenado","19":"tag-nolan-gorman","20":"tag-philadelphia-phillies","21":"tag-sonny-gray","22":"tag-st-louis","23":"tag-st-louis-cardinals","24":"tag-stlouis","25":"tag-stlouiscardinals","26":"tag-toronto-blue-jays","27":"tag-willson-contreras"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116053896436716515","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/566834","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=566834"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/566834\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/566835"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=566834"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=566834"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=566834"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}