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Corbin Carroll, Francisco Lindor, Spencer Schwellenbach, and Jackson Holliday are among the injuries to watch in our latest update.<\/p>\n
\u26be\ufe0f Coming soon: MLB returns to NBC and Peacock in 2026<\/a>! In addition to becoming the exclusive home of Sunday Night Baseball, NBC Sports will broadcast MLB Sunday Leadoff, \u201cOpening Day\u201d and Labor Day primetime games, the first round of the MLB Draft, the entire Wild Card round of the postseason, and much more.<\/p>\n ADP RisersZack Wheeler, SP Philadelphia Phillies<\/p>\n January ADP: 148 There\u2019s optimism surrounding Zack Wheeler\u2019s return from a blood clot in his shoulder and ensuing thoracic outlet syndrome surgery last September<\/a>.<\/p>\n Phillies president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski has been steadfast that Wheeler would be back near Opening Day and he stayed consistent in his messaging this week saying he\u2019s not far behind that<\/a>.<\/p>\n This feels like a favorable outcome given the poor history of pitchers who\u2019ve had TOS surgery, especially those approaching their late 30s like Wheeler is. Of course we won\u2019t know how Wheeler\u2019s stuff or command responded to the procedure until he gets on the mound, but it\u2019s difficult to bet against his track record outside the top 120 picks.<\/p>\n The Phillies offseason also hints at confidence in Wheeler\u2019s health. They watched Ranger Su\u00e1rez leave to sign with the Red Sox and didn\u2019t bring in any other veteran pitchers despite Wheeler\u2019s uncertainty along with questionable depth. It\u2019s fair to take that cue and have a bit more trust because of it.<\/p>\n Seranthony Dom\u00ednguez, RP Chicago White Sox<\/p>\n January ADP: 358 The White Sox signed Seranthony Dom\u00ednguez to a two-year, $20 million contract on January 29th<\/a> and he\u2019s expected to open the season as their closer. In fact, he\u2019s now the fourth-highest-paid player on their team.<\/p>\n While flawed, he had a 3.16 ERA last year with the Orioles and Blue Jays and was relied upon during Toronto\u2019s playoff run. He also struck out 30.3% of the batters he faced, which is elite.<\/p>\n The eternal struggle for Dom\u00ednguez always comes back to command. His 13.8% walk rate was the sixth-highest among all qualified relievers and sometimes it genuinely feels like he has no idea where the ball is going. Orioles legend Jim Palmer agrees.<\/p>\n Ohtani is super human\u2026 Seranthony Dominguez has great stuff and no idea of how to pitch.. good guy, a shame nobody taught him how to do that. Hard to watch..<\/p>\n \u2014 Jim Palmer (@Jim22Palmer) October 28, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n Nevertheless, his high-leverage experience will put him a rung above Jordan Leasure and Grant Taylor to open the season. Just don\u2019t be surprised if one of those flamethrowers takes this job from Dom\u00ednguez if he were to falter.<\/p>\n Other sleeper relievers like Clayton Beeter, Robert Garcia, Kirby Yates, and Bryan Abreu have also seen their ADPs rise as their respective chances to close have improved. They should all get legitimate consideration for save-needy teams in deeper leagues.<\/p>\n Robby Snelling, SP Miami Marlins<\/p>\n January ADP: 330 The market is responding to top prospect Robby Snelling\u2019s golden opportunity to earn a spot in the Marlins\u2019 rotation. Trading both Edward Cabrera<\/a> and Ryan Weathers<\/a> during the first half of January has made the door wide open to do so.<\/p>\n After Sandy Alcantara (who remains a trade candidate himself) and Eury P\u00e9rez at the top, Max Meyer, Braxton Garrett, and Chris Paddack are projected to round out their starting five.<\/p>\n P\u00e9rez just came back from Tommy John surgery last June. A labral hip tear ended Meyer\u2019s season that same month and he\u2019s just recently fully healthy. Garrett hasn\u2019t pitched in the big leagues since June 2024 after a flexor tendon strain, shoulder impingement, and multiple ensuing surgeries. Paddack has a 5.06 ERA in 441 innings since 2020.<\/p>\n After this crew, the Marlins\u2019 depth pieces of Janson Junk, Adam Mazur, Bradley Blalock, and Ryan Gusto are similarly uninspiring.<\/p>\n Then, there\u2019s Snelling who\u2019s coming off 63 2\/3 innings at Triple-A with a 1.27 ERA and 32.9% strikeout rate. That was a major resurgence after he stumbled during his second pro season in 2024 with his mid-90s velocity drifting down a few ticks.<\/p>\n He had a 6.01 ERA through July with fewer strikeouts and more walks than the year before when the Padres traded him to the Marlins as part of the package that netted them relievers Tanner Scott and Bryan Hoeing. He found a new groove after joining the Marlins, regaining his velocity and top prospect status.<\/p>\n If his fastball can hold near 95 mph like it did last season, he could hit the ground running as a big leaguer. It\u2019s just up to the Marlins as to how early they\u2019re willing to give him a chance. A few strong starts this spring and murmurs of him making the club could push his ADP up much further.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Eric Samulski ranks his top 150 starting pitchers for 2026.<\/p>\n ADP FallersCorbin Carroll, Francisco Lindor, and Jackson Holliday<\/p>\n Carroll pre-injury ADP: 8 Lindor pre-injury ADP: 17 Holliday pre-injury ADP: 134 The broken hamate crew have all seen their ADP fall in the wake of recent injury news.<\/p>\n For those unfamiliar, the hamate bone \u2014 which could cause Corbin Carroll, Francisco Lindor and Jackson Holliday to miss Opening Day \u2014 is a small, hook-shaped bone on the palm, just underneath the pinky, that is particularly susceptible to breaking. While the recovery is typically\u2026<\/p>\n \u2014 Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) February 11, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n For Corbin Carroll and Jackson Holliday, only one draft has been logged as part of the NFBC\u2019s ADP data<\/a> between their injuries being announced on Wednesday and me writing this on Thursday evening. So, perhaps their falls end up less severe as more of a sample develops.<\/p>\n Still, it\u2019s fair to exhibit caution when drafting anyone from this trio, especially Holliday. His ADP before the injury baked in some expectation that he\u2019d take a leap forward after disappointingly being the 17th-ranked second baseman in earned value last season.<\/p>\n His profile showed no signs of that breakout, aside from his former number one overall prospect status. It\u2019s reasonable to fear a lost season in standard 10- or 12-team formats.<\/p>\n Maybe there\u2019s a path forward similar to Francisco Alvarez\u2019s last season. He suffered from the same injury in spring training, came back quickly with no setbacks, struggled through the first half, and then erupted as a waiver claim after the All-Star break.<\/p>\n As for Carroll, it\u2019s difficult not to officially put the injury-prone tag on him. Perhaps his max effort play style could be too much for his relatively small body to handle. As a rookie, he swung so hard he popped his shoulder from its socket.<\/p>\n He didn\u2019t miss much time, but it zapped his power for a full year. Now, this hamate injury could do the same in the short term. Watching him play with reckless abandon is a treat; it\u2019s just starting to get scary watching the injuries pile up.<\/p>\n Francisco Lindor has the best chance to shake his broken hamate off among this trio.<\/p>\n The bottom hand is where the hamate breaks as the hand wraps around the knob of the bat. After surgery, it\u2019s difficult to get that strength back. As a switch-hitter, he will be able to hide his weaker left hand by hitting left-handed (with his right hand on the bottom), which will happen naturally when he faces right-handed pitchers.<\/p>\n Also, he\u2019s earned his reputation as a warrior playing through a back and toe injury over the last two seasons and not allowing his counting stats to suffer.<\/p>\n Spencer Schwellenbach, SP Atlanta Braves<\/p>\n January ADP: 93 This one\u2019s easy: Spencer Schwellenbach was placed on the 60-day injured list immediately when he reported to camp with elbow inflammation<\/a>. Even more frustrating, the last update we got from the Braves on Schwellenbach was that his elbow was \u201cpain free\u201d in November<\/a> after an elbow fracture ended his last season in July.<\/p>\n The best-case scenario is that bone spurs are the root cause of Schwellenbach\u2019s elbow pain. He\u2019s set to get a scope to remove them, and if all goes well he could be back sometime in June.<\/p>\n Yet, after the way last year went and this injury popping up so soon going into camp, that best-case scenario feel far-fetched. Complications are ordinary when situations like this arise in February and it\u2019s fair to take Schwellenbach off your draft board altogether at this point.<\/p>\n Hurston Waldrep is a name to watch in response. He took a step forward last season as he replaced a poor fastball with a new cutter and sinker. That allowed his nasty splitter to play up and he has a genuine chance to make the Braves\u2019 Opening Day rotation.<\/p>\n Blake Snell, SP Los Angeles Dodgers<\/p>\n January ADP: 83 In the least straightforward update I could imagine, Blake Snell is \u201ctired\u201d after the postseason and will ramp up slowly<\/a>. That has put his status for Opening Day in question and thus, dropped his ADP a good bit.<\/p>\n He did throw 34 innings last October, which is a lot. He also only threw 61 1\/3 during the regular season which marked the fifth time over the last six full seasons where he\u2019s failed to reach 130 innings.<\/p>\n Reading between the lines and understanding where the Dodgers are at as a team, they have openly deprioritized the regular season. There is no reason to push Snell (or any of their other starting pitchers) when they have a 94.5% chance to win their division according to FanGraphs<\/a>.<\/p>\n If anyone feels a twinge, a tickle, even an itch, they\u2019ll let them rest until they\u2019re 110% healthy. Once mid-August hits they\u2019ll ramp up for the playoffs and start their real season.<\/p>\n This could wind up as a nice discount on Snell. Or, we should reduce our workload expectations across the board for all Dodgers pitchers.<\/p>\n
February ADP: 123<\/p>\n
February ADP: 199<\/p>\n
February ADP: 310<\/p>\n![\"MLB:](\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1770901995_858_.jpeg\")
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Carroll post-injury ADP: 18<\/p>\n
Lindor post-injury ADP: 23<\/p>\n
Holliday post-injury ADP: 163<\/p>\n
February ADP: 157<\/p>\n
February ADP: 102<\/p>\n