{"id":615462,"date":"2026-03-09T20:21:38","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T20:21:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/615462\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T20:21:38","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T20:21:38","slug":"astros-roster-projections-as-of-march-9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/615462\/","title":{"rendered":"Astros Roster Projections as of March 9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">There\u2019s some interesting decisions that have to be made. Where could the Astros be leaning as of today?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">This article updates my previous roster projection: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.crawfishboxes.com\/houston-astros-analysis\/72007\/astros-2026-roster-and-depth-chart-projections-as-of-february-1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.crawfishboxes.com\/houston-astros-analysis\/72007\/astros-2026-roster-and-depth-chart-projections-as-of-february-1<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Let\u2019s start with the rotation:<\/p>\n<p>Hunter BrownTatsuya ImaiCristian JavierMike BurrowsSpencer ArrighettiLance McCullers Jr\/Ryan Weiss<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Now, Arrighetti hasn\u2019t been sharp, and his velocity hasn\u2019t been consistent. He\u2019s also only pitched twice, so there\u2019s time.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Weiss went 2.1 IP in his first appearance. He\u2019s also coming off a year where he threw over 170 IP and that durability\/reliability should matter. Weiss went 3 innings today in his second appearance of the spring, allowing 1 run on 2 hits, walked 1 and struck out 6. By performance, he should be in the rotation, but we know there\u2019s more to it than that. He will be on the roster in some fashion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Jury is still out on Lance McCullers Jr. He\u2019s only pitched one time, and he threw all of 8 pitches. The good news was that his velocity was significantly up from last year on his fastball\/sinker. It\u2019s the difference between him being a major leaguer or not.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The bad news is he\u2019s only pitched once, and threw all of 8 pitches. Astros are understandably being cautious with Lance considering his injury history, and he has thrown a simulated game for 2 innings, the details of which are not public outside of the fact he threw \u201cabout 40 pitches\u201d. That happened March 4, so 5 days ago.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">McCullers gets the start tomorrow against Baltimore in an outing that could very much determine his future going forward with the Astros.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">A strong outing could put him into a rotation slot, likely bumping Ryan Weiss to the pen even though Arrighetti hasn\u2019t performed well as yet. A tough outing could have the team reevaluating his timeline and his role. Whether or not McCullers can maintain velocity inning to inning is a very big question that needs to be answered.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Considering Lance threw 40 pitches in a simulated game 5 days ago, I would expect he\u2019s looking at something between 50-60 pitches tomorrow.<\/p>\n<p>CL Josh Hader (likely IL)SU Bryan AbreuLHP Bryan KingLHP Bennett SousaLHP Steven OkertRHP AJ BlubaughRHP Ryan WeissRHP Roddery Munoz (last spot if Hader on IL)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The final two spots in the bullpen are the \u2018flex spots\u2019. I have included Weiss here as well as the rotation because what happens with McCullers directly impacts Weiss.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">With the Astros employing a 6-man rotation, they will need a couple of pitchers who can go multiple innings, which Blubaugh and Weiss can certainly do. Having a short pen and trying to protect Hader and Abreu from multi-inning appearances will require having guys who can go multiple innings all season.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Sam Carlson and Kai-Wei Teng have impressed in camp, but the Astros selected Munoz in the Rule 5 draft and like his power stuff. After a rough start to Spring Training, Munoz has settled in and shown that power stuff racking up 7K in 4 inning. Since the team has to keep Munoz on the roster all season or offer him back to his original team, if Munoz continues to pitch well I think that situation gives him a leg up in being the last man in the pen with Hader sidelined.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Peter Lambert has also impressed in camp, and threw 3 shutout innings today, allowing 2 hits with 2 BB and 3K. He has worked himself into the conversation as a non-roster invitee.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Josh Hader\u2019s situation is still the most tenuous of any Astros player. Hader is one of the most irreplaceable players on the roster, and he is still only throwing bullpens after being shut down last year with a shoulder capsule injury and then biceps tendinitis he developed before Spring Training. Presuming the bullpen session goes well, Hader will throw live BP Friday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">At this current progression, it\u2019s possible Hader doesn\u2019t return to the roster until after April 15, perhaps closer to May 1 to sharpen his stuff and command after the offseason setback.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Starters: Brown, Imai, Burrows, Javier, Arrighetti, McCullers Jr (pending Tuesday start)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Bullpen: Hader (IL) Abreu, King, Sousa, Okert, Blubaugh, Weiss, Munoz (with Hader sidelined for now)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Now let\u2019s get to the lineup:<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">C: Yainer Diaz, Christian Vazquez<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">It\u2019s clear Astros don\u2019t like\/trust Cesar Salazar to handle regular backup catching duties, nor do they think he\u2019s capable of being an everyday player if Yainer were to be down for any length of time. They bring back Vazquez for his defense, preparation and leadership. Vazquez can\u2019t hit a lick anymore, but Houston values his veteran leadership presence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Walker Janek, who has torn it up in spring, still needs another year of minor league ball. He hasn\u2019t played above high A ball. He is expected to start the season at Double-A Corpus Christi, but could be promoted to Triple-A Sugar Land with a strong first half.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">IF: Christian Walker, Jose Altuve, Jeremy Pena, Carlos Correa, Isaac Paredes, Nick Allen<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The first 5 of these players, barring a trade, are going to play a significant amount of time &#8211; meaning full time to very close to full time starter reps. How the Astros manage this is debatable, but they will all play the overwhelming majority of games. Allen is the backup SS\/defensive replacement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">OF: Yordan Alvarez, Jake Meyers, Cam Smith, Zach Cole, Joey Loperfido<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Yordan is expected to primarily DH, but how much time does he actually get in LF is still to be determined. If he played twice a week in LF, that would be 52 games. That doesn\u2019t seem unreasonable. Three times per week would be 78 games, which would be a new career high and seems unlikely (at least for now).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Cole is a power LH bat with a cannon arm, and the team reacquired Loperfido because they like the adjustments he\u2019s made to his swing and think it will make him more consistent. They always liked Loperfido\u2019s defense.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Cam was the prize oft he Tucker trade and they expect him to take a big step forward this season, but they have the depth if he doesn\u2019t. Meyers will play CF as long as he is an Astro.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Taylor Trammell has really played well this spring. Team loves his grit and hustle, he is a terrific defensive player as well. Trammell has always had the tools to be successful but he\u2019s never hit at the MLB level. With Cam and Jake entrenched as the right handed OFs, there\u2019s just no room for Trammell right now.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Shay Whitcomb and Zach Dezenzo are both playing in the WBC. Whitcomb went 2&#215;4 for Team Korea with 2 HR in a start at 3B, and had a pinch hit double in today\u2019s win over Australia. Dezenzo went 1&#215;3 with a double for Team Italy in a start in RF. He also walked and scored twice.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">However, both being right handed bats, neither seems to have a role on the current roster as neither can play SS at the MLB level, and the Astros have corner infield spots covered between Correa, Walker and Paredes. Both could be call ups during the season as injury replacements.<\/p>\n<p>Pena &#8211; SSAlvarez &#8211; LFAltuve &#8211; 2BCorrea &#8211; 3BParedes &#8211; DHWalker &#8211; 1BDiaz &#8211; CSmith\/Cole -RF (Smith vs LHP, Cole vs RHP)Meyers &#8211; CF<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Paredes has only had a handful of innings at 2B this spring, so whether or not the Astros are comfortable with him at 2B is yet to be determined. However if they are, it would make more sense to DH Altuve, who posted his best offensive numbers last season while DHing. This lineup actually projects to be pretty good.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Now best projected lineup doesn\u2019t equate to most likely projected lineup, as we know Yordan will not play LF often.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Here is what a Yordan at DH lineup looks like:<\/p>\n<p>Pena &#8211; SSYordan &#8211; DHAltuve &#8211; 2BCorrea &#8211; 3BParedes\/Walker &#8211; 1BDiaz &#8211; CCole &#8211; LFSmith &#8211; RFMeyers &#8211; CF<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">This is still a solid lineup that should produce.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I also think that on days when Paredes spells Altuve or Correa, Paredes should slot into that player\u2019s spot in the lineup and not change the entire lineup as a result. Espada is the King of Lineup Variations, but with a steadier reason for variations instead of playing injury mix-and-match, it may become more uniform in that regard.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Here is a maxed out lefthanded hitting lineup for Astros:<\/p>\n<p>Pena &#8211; SSYordan &#8211; LFAltuve &#8211; 2BCorrea &#8211; 3BParedes &#8211; DHCole &#8211; CFWalker &#8211; 1BLoperfido &#8211; RFDiaz &#8211; CPena &#8211; SSYordan &#8211; DHAltuve &#8211; 2BCorrea &#8211; 3BParedes\/Walker &#8211; 1BCole &#8211; LFDiaz &#8211; CLoperfido &#8211; RFMeyers &#8211; CF<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Regulars: Diaz, Walker, Paredes, Altuve, Pena, Correa, Yordan, Meyers, Smith<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Bench: Cole, Loperfido, Allen, Vazquez<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">This team has a lot more depth than it had last season, and along with better health (how could it be worse than last year?) it should translate to more wins.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"There\u2019s some interesting decisions that have to be made. Where could the Astros be leaning as of today?&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":615463,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2389],"tags":[42,5,139,54,64940,65265,72462,32124,3211,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-615462","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-houston-astros","8":"tag-astros","9":"tag-baseball","10":"tag-houston","11":"tag-houston-astros","12":"tag-houston-astros-analysis","13":"tag-houston-astros-discussion","14":"tag-houston-astros-spring-training","15":"tag-houston-astros-roster","16":"tag-houstonastros","17":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116201083861435460","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/615462","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=615462"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/615462\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/615463"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=615462"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=615462"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=615462"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}