{"id":625281,"date":"2026-03-15T18:00:26","date_gmt":"2026-03-15T18:00:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/625281\/"},"modified":"2026-03-15T18:00:26","modified_gmt":"2026-03-15T18:00:26","slug":"spring-training-results-matter-in-this-one-specific-way","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/625281\/","title":{"rendered":"Spring Training results matter in this one specific way"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">With the best record and run differential in the Cactus League for the second Spring Training in a row, it makes a lot of sense that the San Francisco Giants fans are feeling pretty good about the team heading into the regular season. For the moment, let\u2019s ignore what actually happened after last Spring Training\u2019s triumph and stay on that positivity to examine the latest results of SB Nation Reacts poll. The question was straightforward: Where will the Giants finish in the NL West? <\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.mccoveychronicles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/105\/2026\/03\/SanFranicsco_1_031026.png?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100\" data-pswp-height=\"1350\" data-pswp-width=\"1080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/SanFranicsco_1_031026.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">That\u2019s a really strong poll, with just 40% of respondents believing the team won\u2019t be vying for the division title or a Wild Card spot (thanks to those fans who took the time to cast a troll vote predicting they\u2019d be worse than the Colorado Rockies). Yes, I\u2019m perhaps prognosticating too negatively suggest that a third place finish won\u2019t push the Giants into the postseason for the first time since 2021, but that seems pretty reasonable given a non-NL West field that will almost certainly include the Mets, Atlanta, Phillies, Brewers, Cubs, and possibly the Reds. There might be room for just one other team in the NL West to make the postseason or realistically scrap it out.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">That\u2019s if you believe San Diego and Arizona are too weak to be serious competitors (and, if you\u2019re thinking about another division, the Reds) both within the division and that field. That might wind up being the case, but it\u2019s still a massive prognostication that, to me, outweighs projecting a Wild Card field that might only include one NL West team. Yes, absolutely, the Giants could wind up being the second-best team in the division, but San Diego\u2019s range of projections is so wide that while they could wind up <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gaslampball.com\/san-diego-padres-analysis-commentary\/52820\/the-2026-projections-are-in-for-padres\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">in the 80 to 82 win range<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.fangraphs.com\/2026-zips-projections-san-diego-padres\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">they could also get to 88 or 90<\/a>. <a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.fanduel.com\/navigation\/mlb\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The conventional wisdom all offseason<\/a> has been that the Giants will be chasing the Padres in 2026. The consensus with the Diamondbacks is that they\u2019ll almost certainly trail the Giants, suggesting a third place team at best (unless those trolls who cast the fifth place finish votes wind up being correct).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">But that\u2019s enough about the playoffs. That\u2019s a six months from now problem. Today, it\u2019s about basking in the positivity. If I were to have predicted the results of this prediction poll, I would\u2019ve come pretty close to getting it right. The Giants are playing great and they\u2019ve got just enough \u201cnew\u201d in the mix to make the last three months of last season not only a distant memory, but in no way predictive for 2026. It certainly feels like there has been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mccoveychronicles.com\/mlb-reacts\/103854\/mlb-reacts-poll-fans-favor-mlb-abs-challenge-system-how-it-impacts-sf-giants-patrick-bailey\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">positive developments with the development section of the roster<\/a> and that\u2019s before you start thinking about Logan Webb, Rafael Devers, Matt Chapman, Willy Adames, Heliot Ramos, and Jung Hoo Lee.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Indeed, this poll demonstrates that Giants fans have looked at the bullpen and concluded, \u201cYou know what? Keaton Winn will be 7th inning guy when the team breaks camp. Gregory Santos is the Prodigal Son who will setup Ryan Walker who will be a top tier closer despite how last season went. Buster Posey\u2019s spaghetti-at-the-wall bullpen makes all the sense in the world.\u201d They\u2019ve seen the first six weeks of the schedule \u2014 which goes Yankees, Padres, at Mets, Phillies, at Orioles, at Reds (then at Nationals), Dodgers, Marlins, at Rays, Padres, Pirates, and Dodgers again \u2014 and have concluded, \u201cHey, they go 22-22 and they\u2019re in great shape the rest of the way.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">A bad Spring Training record would not have engendered such optimism.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">While there are probably fans <a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.fanduel.com\/navigation\/mlb\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">who place a bet on the Giants winning the World Series every year<\/a> no matter the odds, the Giants do appear to be a group with a lot more going on for it than wishcasting or \u201cthere\u2019s always next year.\u201d This is the second straight Spring Training where this basic roster core and executive group has looked competitive once assembled on a baseball field. Bob Melvin\u2019s ancient staff of been there, done thats didn\u2019t have any answers when that Spring Training success translated to regular season success but then floundered and you can bet that Tony Vitello and his coaching group won\u2019t rest on \u201cletting guys figure things out\u201d if things go as terribly midseason as they did in 2025. The team\u2019s makeup has changed with few changes to the team itself.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">This week\u2019s SB Nation Reacts report had two more questions included with the team-specific questions and came about because of the suspensions for Max Kepler and Jurickson Profar, who both tested positive for performance enhancing drugs in their system.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.mccoveychronicles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/105\/2026\/03\/National_1_031026.png?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100\" data-pswp-height=\"1350\" data-pswp-width=\"1080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/National_1_031026.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">45% of MLB fans who voted in the SB Nation Reacts MLB polls this past week aren\u2019t worried at all about PED usage in the sport. Only about 1\/3 of fans see PEDs as, currently, a major problem and it\u2019s a bit concerning that it\u2019s so high. A major problem? I have a big smile on my face for the 20% result for \u201cOnly if it hurts my team.\u201d Sometimes, that degree of lizard brained honesty is refreshing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">My lizard brain perceives the 35% thinking it\u2019s a major problem as those who think the Dodgers are cheating and that the root of all evil is either the Dodgers or Yankees, because fans of a teams that usually stink must think that teams that try and win a lot must be the result of sorcery or some devil\u2019s bargain. While it\u2019s true that the Dodgers are The First Evil, the cause of all death and disaster in the universe, the histrionic segment of the US population that believes the key to \u201cfixing\u201d Major League Baseball is by constraining the Dodgers, Yankees, and Mets via the annihilation of the players\u2019 collective bargaining power is no friend of mine or genuine fan of the sport. They\u2019re tribalists who are channeling blood lust through team sport. I don\u2019t find relief in inflicting pain on others, but I might be in the minority on that. But there will always be a group of people who want to hurt a stranger as much as they can imagine. And on that note, the second national poll question:<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.mccoveychronicles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/105\/2026\/03\/National_2_031026.png?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100\" data-pswp-height=\"1350\" data-pswp-width=\"1080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/National_2_031026.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The majority of fans who voted are basically fine with the current punishment system, but a not-insignificant group of 41% wants more. I wonder how many of the \u201cI only care if it affects my team\u201d wanted harsher punishments. If my lived experience as an American is instructive at all, there\u2019s probably a lot of overlap.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Of course, another suspension could be a big story for the labor negotiations, as the owners \u2014 and fans \u2014 have a list of grievances against the players they think will be compelling enough to impose a dumb stupid salary cap and a pathetic salary floor. We\u2019re not there yet, though, and back to the point of this post: we\u2019re not at the point where we can forget how well the Giants are doing right now.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Yes, zero negative and zero positive outcomes during Spring Training are predictive or matter, but it\u2019s fun when the Giants win. That they\u2019ve so rarely won over the past decade when the games have counted can\u2019t get in the way of how they look today.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"With the best record and run differential in the Cactus League for the second Spring Training in a&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":625282,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2408],"tags":[5,162,4,169,378,66,4343,4340,4344,4341,4342],"class_list":{"0":"post-625281","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-san-francisco-giants","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-giants","10":"tag-mlb","11":"tag-news","12":"tag-san-francisco","13":"tag-san-francisco-giants","14":"tag-sanfrancisco","15":"tag-sanfranciscogiants","16":"tag-sf","17":"tag-sf-giants","18":"tag-sfgiants"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116234501624035957","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/625281","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=625281"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/625281\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/625282"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=625281"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=625281"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=625281"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}