{"id":651262,"date":"2026-03-29T22:01:16","date_gmt":"2026-03-29T22:01:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/651262\/"},"modified":"2026-03-29T22:01:16","modified_gmt":"2026-03-29T22:01:16","slug":"guardians-vs-mariners-picks-hitter-vs-pitcher-data-betting-splits-snb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/651262\/","title":{"rendered":"Guardians vs Mariners Picks, Hitter-vs-Pitcher Data &#038; Betting Splits (SNB)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Guardians meet the Mariners in the first Sunday Night Baseball game of the season<\/p>\n<p>Seattle is looking salvage a split of the four-game season-opening series<\/p>\n<p>See my top Guardians vs Mariners picks for SNB, plus the odds and full batter-vs-pitcher stats<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Jump to: <a href=\"#odds\">ODDS<\/a> || <a href=\"#stats\">BvP STATS<\/a> || <a href=\"#picks\">PICKS<\/a> || <a href=\"#splits\">SPLITS<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Seattle Mariners (1-2, O\/U) and Cleveland Guardians (2-1, O\/U) conclude their four-game series at T-Mobile Park on Sunday Night Baseball this evening. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm PT\/7:10 pm ET. <\/p>\n<p>The matchup on the mound features a pair of promising young arms. Emerson Hancock (4.90 ERA, 1.38 WHIP in 2025), a 6\u20194, 26-year-old righty, toes the rubber for Seattle against Slade Cecconi (4.30 ERA, 1.19 WHIP), who is, coincidentally, also a 6\u20194, 26-year-old righty. <\/p>\n<p>If the Mariners are going to salvage a split of the four-game series, they will have to find a way to slow the insane roll of rookie DH Chase DeLauter, who has clubbed a record-setting four home runs in his first three big-league games. Below, I will break down the best-available odds for all betting markets and set out my top Mariners\/Guardians pick. <\/p>\n<p>Guardians vs Mariners Odds for Sunday Night Baseball<\/p>\n<p>Despite a sluggish start to the season for both their bats and their arms, Seattle is a -140 home favorite on Sunday (best odds at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/go\/bet365-sportsbook\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet365<\/a>). Cleveland comes back at +125 (bestodds at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/go\/betmgm-sportsbook\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>). <\/p>\n<p>If you have access to the prediction markets at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/go\/kalshi-trading\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Kalshi<\/a>, you can find better prices on both teams. Seattle to win is trading at 58\u00a2 (equal to a -138 moneyline) while Cleveland to win is trading at 43\u00a2 (equal to a +133 moneyline). Kalshi also has better prices on the run total: over 7.5 is trading at 52\u00a2 (a.k.a. -108) with under 7.5 at 49\u00a2 (+104). <\/p>\n<p>If you live in a Kalshi region, click \u201cPredict\u201d in the graphic above to claim SBD\u2019s exclusive <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/prediction-markets\/kalshi\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Kalshi referral code<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>Odds commentary as of 2:11 pm ET, March 29th. Check SBD\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/mlb\/odds\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MLB odds<\/a> page for the latest lines. <\/p>\n<p>Guardians vs Mariners Hitter-vs-Pitcher Stats<\/p>\n<p>The table below lists the career statistics for Mariners hitters against both Cecconi and all active Cleveland relief pitchers, according to Sportradar data. <\/p>\n<p>SEA Hitters vs Cecconi &amp; CLE Bullpen<\/p>\n<p>Only five Mariner hitters have ever seen Cecconi. Brendan Donovan is the lone Seattle hitter with a home run off the Cleveland starter, who is entering his third full season. <\/p>\n<p>The table below lists the career stats for the Cleveland hitters against Hancock, who\u2019s also entering his third full season. <\/p>\n<p>CLE Hitters vs Hancock &amp; SEA Bullpen<\/p>\n<p>In 24 total plate appearances, the Guardians hitters have yet to take Hancock deep. Bo Naylor has the only extra-base hit, a double. <\/p>\n<p>CLE Guardians vs SEA Mariners Picks &amp; Best Bets<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s still very early in the season and a lot of rust still needs to be kicked off. Cleveland\u2019s big bats have been a little sharper in the first three games. Seattle has mashed seven home runs in the series, but Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodriguez, and Randy Arozarena only have one extra-base hit combined (a double) and one RBI. <\/p>\n<p>Cleveland\u2019s 1-2-3 hitters \u2013 Steven Kwan, Jose Ramirez, and dazzling rookie Chase DeLauter have 11 hits, nine RBI, and four homers, all from DeLauter. (The best price on another DeLuater long ball on Sunday is +440 at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/go\/fanatics-sportsbook\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Fanatics<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p>Cecconi ostensibly gives the Guardians a slight edge on the mound and Seattle\u2019s bullpen has been disastrous so far. The Mariner relievers have a hideous 5.06 ERA heading into Sunday, and their 4.35 xFIP isn\u2019t much better. Cleveland\u2019s bullpen has a solid 3.38 ERA and an elite 2.82 xFIP. That\u2019s not just a small-sample-size advantage; the Guardians also had a stronger pen last season (3.44 ERA, 3.98 xFIP vs 3.75 ERA, 4.04 xFIP). <\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m not saying the Guardians should be favored but, considering the volatility that comes with early-season baseball, I love the value on Cleveland at +133 at Kalshi.<\/p>\n<p>Moneyline Pick: Cleveland Guardians (-133\/43\u00a2) at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/go\/kalshi-trading\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Kalshi<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Public Betting Splits for Sunday Night Baseball<\/p>\n<p>In the outright winner market, the Mariners command 78.5% of the moneyline tickets but have drawn just 56.2% of the overall stake. The Guardians are pulling in a healthy 43.8% of the cash on just 21.5% of the tickets, suggesting larger wagers are backing the road underdogs.<\/p>\n<p>A sharp-vs-public situation has materialized on the runline. Casual bettors are fine laying runs with the home team, as the Mariners hold 66.3% of the runline tickets. However, a staggering 87.1% of the total runline stake is riding on the Guardians +1.5. <\/p>\n<p>Sunday\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/mlb\/public-betting-trends\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MLB public betting<\/a> splits show bettors are heavily anticipating offensive production, with the over attracting 78.2% of tickets and 77.6% of the handle. <\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"40\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/01\/sbd-newsletter-logo.svg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-658480\" style=\"width:220px\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-display-bold mt-2 mb-2 has-3-xl-font-size\">Sign Up for SBD\u2019s Newsletter Now<\/p>\n<p>Did you want the latest sports betting news, analysis, picks, betting trends, and relevant data straight to your inbox? If so, you\u2019ll want to subscribe to SBD\u2019s newsletter now!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Guardians meet the Mariners in the first Sunday Night Baseball game of the season Seattle is looking&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":651263,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2380],"tags":[5,135,51,2565,538,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-651262","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-cleveland-guardians","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-cleveland","10":"tag-cleveland-guardians","11":"tag-clevelandguardians","12":"tag-guardians","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116314721792789342","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/651262","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=651262"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/651262\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/651263"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=651262"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=651262"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=651262"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}