{"id":655813,"date":"2026-04-01T04:13:42","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T04:13:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/655813\/"},"modified":"2026-04-01T04:13:42","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T04:13:42","slug":"yankees-vs-mariners-prediction-odds-home-run-pick-for-tonights-mlb-game-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/655813\/","title":{"rendered":"Yankees vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Tonight’s MLB Game"},"content":{"rendered":"

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Another quality pitching matchup awaits us in the second of a three-game set between the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners.
We like one of the most improved arms in baseball last season to carve up a swing-heavy Yankees lineup.<\/p>\n

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My Yankees vs. Mariners predictions and MLB picks<\/a> break down why we like the plus money over price on Logan Gilbert’s strikeouts for Tuesday, March 31.<\/p>\n

First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle, with the game airing on TBS.<\/p>\n

Yankees vs Mariners predictionsYankees vs Mariners best bet:\u00a0Logan Gilbert Over 7.5 strikeouts (+110)<\/p>\n

It\u2019s fair to ask if Luis Castillo<\/a> can mow down the New York Yankees<\/a> with seven strikeouts rather comfortably than why would a better pitcher be any different a day later?<\/p>\n

Logan Gilbert<\/a>‘s 32% strikeout rate ranked in the 94th percentile last season, and his 33% whiff rate sat 93rd. Those are not empty numbers.\u00a0<\/p>\n

He posted an 11.9 K\/9 last year across 131 innings, and the Yankees are the right matchup to push him over this number. <\/p>\n

If Gilbert records 18 outs, his strikeout total projects to just over 8. I\u2019ll take that at this price point.<\/p>\n

\"Covers\"<\/p>\n

Covers<\/p>\n

COVERS INTEL:<\/p>\n

Logan Gilbert’s 7+ foot extension is the longest in baseball. That release point makes his fastball arrive on hitters roughly a foot closer to the plate than the average pitcher.<\/p>\n

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Yankees vs Mariners same-game parlay (SGP)<\/p>\n

I\u2019m pairing a scoreless first frame with my best bet.<\/p>\n

I like the angle of backing Gilbert early against a swing happy lineup after a rough season opening stat. <\/p>\n

On the other side, I trust the strong peripherals that heavily tilt towards Max Fried<\/a> against the 1 through 4 hitters in the Seattle Mariners<\/a> lineup.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Yankees vs Mariners SGP<\/p>\n

Logan Gilbert Over 7.5 strikeouts<\/p>\n

Yankees vs Mariners home run pick: Giancarlo Stanton (+260)<\/p>\n

Giancarlo Stanton<\/a>\u2019s raw power makes him attractive here. Over four games, he\u2019s posted one of the highest chase contact numbers of his career. <\/p>\n

The sample is hardly meaningful but if it can continue for another night, it will give him a boost in this matchup as Gilbert is a chase reliant pitcher. <\/p>\n

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Stanton gets to one and it\u2019s likely going to be hit quite hard.<\/p>\n

2026 Transparency record<\/p>\n

Best bets: 2-1, +.80 units<\/p>\n

Yankees vs Mariners odds<\/p>\n

Moneyline: New York -110 | Seattle -110\u00a0<\/p>\n

Run line: New York +1.5 (-225) | Seattle -1.5 (+195)<\/p>\n

Over\/Under: Over 7.5 (-110) | Under 7.5 (-102)<\/p>\n

Yankees vs Mariners trend<\/p>\n

The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 70 games (+16.15 Units \/ 14% ROI). Find more\u00a0MLB betting trends<\/a> for Yankees vs. Mariners.<\/p>\n

How to watch Yankees vs Mariners and game info<\/p>\n

Location<\/p>\n

T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA<\/p>\n

Date<\/p>\n

Tuesday, March 31, 2026<\/p>\n

First pitch<\/p>\n

9:40 p.m. ET<\/p>\n

TV<\/p>\n

TBS<\/p>\n

Yankees starting pitcher<\/p>\n

Max Fried
(1-0, 0.00 ERA)<\/p>\n

Mariners starting pitcher<\/p>\n

Logan Gilbert
(0-0, 5.06 ERA)<\/p>\n

Yankees vs Mariners latest injuriesYankees vs Mariners weather<\/p>\n

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.<\/p>\n

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This article originally appeared on Covers.com<\/a>, read the full article here<\/a> and view our best betting sites<\/a> or check out our top sportsbook promos<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here. Another…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":655814,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2392],"tags":[5,310,466,331,620,108,4,62,619,65,3235],"class_list":{"0":"post-655813","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-seattle-mariners","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-giancarlo-stanton","10":"tag-logan-gilbert","11":"tag-luis-castillo","12":"tag-mariners","13":"tag-max-fried","14":"tag-mlb","15":"tag-new-york-yankees","16":"tag-seattle","17":"tag-seattle-mariners","18":"tag-seattlemariners"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116327509130980284","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/655813","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=655813"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/655813\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/655814"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=655813"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=655813"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=655813"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}