{"id":661385,"date":"2026-04-03T19:42:49","date_gmt":"2026-04-03T19:42:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/661385\/"},"modified":"2026-04-03T19:42:49","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T19:42:49","slug":"marlins-vs-yankees-prediction-picks-odds-for-todays-mlb-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/661385\/","title":{"rendered":"Marlins vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game"},"content":{"rendered":"

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The Miami Marlins and New York Yankees open a three-game series with strong pitchers.<\/p>\n

Eury Perez is the more talented arm on paper, but both pitchers share a common flaw that matters in this ballpark. Neither can suppress hard contact.<\/p>\n

My Marlins vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks <\/a>break down why both the side and total lean toward the Yankees and offense on Friday, April 3.<\/p>\n

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Who will win Marlins vs Yankees today: Yankees -1.5 (+127)<\/p>\n

When I said Eury Perez<\/a> was the more talented arm, it was more of a “he’s more well-rounded” statement. That is best evidenced by Will Warren’s<\/a> run value differential from pitch to pitch last season: +11 on the fastball, -11 and -12 on two breaking pitches. <\/p>\n

But that is overshadowed by one thing: P\u00e9rez’s hard-hit rate.<\/p>\n

It is simply not a problem you want to have when heading to Yankee Stadium for the New York Yankees<\/a> home opener. This team has ranked in the top five in hard-hit rate and barrel rate over five consecutive seasons. <\/p>\n

Perez will lean on his elite strikeout stuff and have some success, but eventually, a deep power lineup will tee off.<\/p>\n

\"Covers\"<\/p>\n

Covers<\/p>\n

COVERS INTEL:<\/p>\n

It’s a small sample but through six games this season, six of the expected starting Yankees lineup today have posted a hard-hit rate of 50% or higher.\u00a0<\/p>\n

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Marlins vs Yankees Over\/Under pick: Over 8 (+100)<\/p>\n

Both starters posted barrel rates that ranked in the bottom 10% of baseball last season.\u00a0<\/p>\n

In other words, neither arm can keep the ball in the park consistently. Not ideal in the hitter-friendly confines of Yankee Stadium. Even less ideal when a solid breeze is blowing out. <\/p>\n

Warren is just as prone to being blown up as P\u00e9rez. The fastball velocity is elite, but real issues appear if you can get him off it. He comes off a 2.08 ERA start, but an expected ERA north of 4 hints at the underlying problems. <\/p>\n

The Miami Marlins<\/a> may not have to do much to push this over if the New York bats show up, too.<\/p>\n

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Chris Hatfield’s 2026 Transparency Record<\/p>\n

ML\/RL bets: 0-1, -1.15 units<\/p>\n

Over\/Under bets: 2-0, +2.0 units<\/p>\n

Marlins vs Yankees odds<\/p>\n

Moneyline: Miami +145 | New York -160<\/p>\n

Run line: Miami +1.5 (-142) | New York -1.5 (+122)<\/p>\n

Over\/Under: Over 8.5 (-112) | Under 8.5 (-108)<\/p>\n

Marlins vs Yankees trend<\/p>\n

The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 52 games (+18.70 Units \/ 21% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends<\/a> for Marlins vs. Yankees.<\/p>\n

How to watch Marlins vs Yankees and game info<\/p>\n

Location<\/p>\n

Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY<\/p>\n

Date<\/p>\n

Friday, April 3, 2026<\/p>\n

First pitch<\/p>\n

1:35 p.m. ET<\/p>\n

TV<\/p>\n

Marlins TV, YES<\/p>\n

Marlins starting pitcher<\/p>\n

Eury Perez
(0-0, 3.86 ERA)<\/p>\n

Yankees starting pitcher<\/p>\n

Will Warren
(0-0, 2.08 ERA)<\/p>\n

Marlins vs Yankees latest injuriesMarlins vs Yankees weather<\/p>\n

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.<\/p>\n

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This article originally appeared on Covers.com<\/a>, read the full article here<\/a> and view our best betting sites<\/a> or check out our top sportsbook promos<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here. The…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":661386,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2376],"tags":[5,1072,58,4,1690,62,2548,2547,772,5000,142],"class_list":{"0":"post-661385","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-york-yankees","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-eury-perez","10":"tag-miami-marlins","11":"tag-mlb","12":"tag-new-york","13":"tag-new-york-yankees","14":"tag-newyork","15":"tag-newyorkyankees","16":"tag-will-warren","17":"tag-yankee-stadium","18":"tag-yankees"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116342491775788763","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/661385","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=661385"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/661385\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/661386"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=661385"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=661385"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=661385"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}