{"id":662759,"date":"2026-04-04T13:31:13","date_gmt":"2026-04-04T13:31:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/662759\/"},"modified":"2026-04-04T13:31:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-04T13:31:13","slug":"phillies-vs-rockies-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/662759\/","title":{"rendered":"Phillies vs Rockies Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Rockies<\/p>\n<p>Phillies vs Rockies Over \/ Under today: 10 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Phillies \/ Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | NSP+<\/p>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies (-250) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+200) on April 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Denver, CO.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Phillies are 4-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 5-2 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 0-1, 9.01 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Rockies starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 0-0, 4.16 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylinePhillies-2.5   +100O 10   +100-250Rockies +2.5   -120U 10   -120+200<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 62.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Phillies vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+13.40 Units \/ 134% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.45 Units \/ 67% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.35 Units \/ 47% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.65 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Ezequiel Tovar has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units \/ 71% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.90 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units \/ 54% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units \/ 69% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Phillies Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 59 away games (+20.55 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 79 away games (+14.70 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 79 away games (+13.30 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 74 of their last 148 games (+10.15 Units \/ 4% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 99 games (+9.85 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rockies Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 89 of their last 153 games (+17.05 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 90 of their last 156 games (+14.57 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+6.00 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 36 games at home (+5.55 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 39 games at home (+2.85 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 2-5 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units \/ -38.51% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units \/ -5.51% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units \/ 50% ROI<\/p>\n<p>1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units \/ -57.89% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 5-2 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units \/ 39.13% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units \/ -4.29% ROI<\/p>\n<p>2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units \/ -44.44% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units \/ 36.77% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies<\/p>\n<p>The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .124.<\/p>\n<p>The Phillies were 35-5 (.875) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.<\/p>\n<p>The Phillies are 28-95 (.228) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .133.<\/p>\n<p>The Phillies were 69-5 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .875.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies<\/p>\n<p>The Rockies were just 29-89 (.246) after a loss in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.<\/p>\n<p>The Rockies were just 43-119 (.265)  in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Rockies were just 40-96 (.294) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.<\/p>\n<p>The Rockies were just 25-56 (.309) at home in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Phillies hitters are slugging .506 against RHP this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies hitters have an OPS of .872 (175 PA\u2019s) against RHP this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies hitters had an OPS of .764 (4,220 PA\u2019s) against RHP in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies hitters had an OBP of just .292 (730 PA\u2019s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Rockies hitters had an OBP of just .259 (2,886 PA\u2019s) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies hitters had an OPS of just .589 (2,886 PA\u2019s) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .260 (3,113 PA\u2019s) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Rockies won only 27% of games  in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Phillies pitchers  this season \u2014 tied for highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies pitchers walked 7% of batters  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters  since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17%  in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17%  since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2024 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Phillies vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Rockies Phillies vs Rockies Over \/ Under today: 10 Runs Phillies&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":662760,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2405],"tags":[5,167,52,4316,4,168],"class_list":{"0":"post-662759","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-colorado-rockies","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-colorado","10":"tag-colorado-rockies","11":"tag-coloradorockies","12":"tag-mlb","13":"tag-rockies"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116346689032819177","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=662759"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662759\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/662760"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=662759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=662759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=662759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}