{"id":662761,"date":"2026-04-04T13:32:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-04T13:32:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/662761\/"},"modified":"2026-04-04T13:32:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-04T13:32:14","slug":"braves-vs-diamondbacks-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/662761\/","title":{"rendered":"Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Braves are -105 favorites vs the Diamondbacks<\/p>\n<p>Braves vs Diamondbacks Over \/ Under today: 9.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Braves \/ Diamondbacks TV Channel: FOX<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves (-105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) on April 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Phoenix, AZ.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Braves are 6-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 5-3 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Braves vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 1-0, 0.00 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 1-0, 0.00 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineBraves-1.5   +140O 9.5   -110-105Diamondbacks +1.5   -170U 9.5   -110-115<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Braves vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Dominic Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+20.00 Units \/ 250% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ozzie Albies has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+18.00 Units \/ 90% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units \/ 63% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.55 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.35 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+11.20 Units \/ 124% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ketel Marte has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.50 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Braves Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 26 away games (+20.90 Units \/ 61% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 away games (+12.90 Units \/ 44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+11.55 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.90 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 41 away games (+7.70 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 43 of their last 71 games at home (+20.15 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.90 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 71 games at home (+12.75 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 67 of their last 121 games (+8.00 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.30 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Braves are 6-2 against the Run Line (+6.5 Units \/ 80.25% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units \/ 24.58% ROI<\/p>\n<p>1-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units \/ -75.86% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.9 Units \/ 66.29% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 5-3 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units \/ 8.82% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units \/ -22.22% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units \/ 19.21% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units \/ -28% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks<\/p>\n<p>The Braves are just 14-71 (.165) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves were just 21-74 (.221) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks were just 61-17 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks were 27-24 (.529) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Braves (fourth in runs scored).<\/p>\n<p>Braves Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Braves are batting .240 on pitches out of the zone this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves hitters have struck out in just 15% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves hitters are slugging .347 on pitches out of the zone this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 12% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of 67% with two-strikes this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks are batting just .068 on pitches out of the zone this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA\u2019s against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Braves have allowed 1.75 runs per game (14\/8)  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 9 double plays in 41 opportunities (22%)  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves pitchers have an ERA of 1.75 (72.0 IP)  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves pitchers have walked 7% of batters  this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers  this season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21%  in the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Braves vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Braves are -105 favorites vs the Diamondbacks Braves vs Diamondbacks Over \/ Under today: 9.5 Runs Braves&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":655079,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2404],"tags":[146,22,4314,5,38,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-662761","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-arizona-diamondbacks","8":"tag-arizona","9":"tag-arizona-diamondbacks","10":"tag-arizonadiamondbacks","11":"tag-baseball","12":"tag-diamondbacks","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116346692924641689","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662761","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=662761"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662761\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/655079"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=662761"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=662761"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=662761"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}