{"id":662832,"date":"2026-04-04T14:25:23","date_gmt":"2026-04-04T14:25:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/662832\/"},"modified":"2026-04-04T14:25:23","modified_gmt":"2026-04-04T14:25:23","slug":"orioles-vs-pirates-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/662832\/","title":{"rendered":"Orioles vs Pirates Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the Pirates<\/p>\n<p>Orioles vs Pirates Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Orioles \/ Pirates TV Channel: MASN | SNP+<\/p>\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) on April 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Orioles are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 4-3 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-0, 7.72 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Pirates starting pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski 0-0, 4.16 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Orioles vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineOrioles-1.5   +145O 8.5   -115-110Pirates +1.5   -175U 8.5   -105-110<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Orioles vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units \/ 100% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units \/ 45% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Samuel Basallo has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.80 Units \/ 69% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Ryan O\u2019Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+10.95 Units \/ 110% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ryan O\u2019Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marcell Ozuna has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ryan O\u2019Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units \/ 40% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Orioles Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 141 games (+30.03 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 84 of their last 142 games (+17.65 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+10.75 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 113 games (+9.85 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+8.05 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Pirates Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 150 games (+27.90 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 151 games (+26.80 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 124 games (+24.60 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games at home (+14.29 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 62 games at home (+13.10 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 2-5 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units \/ -39.75% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units \/ -23.37% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units \/ 8.39% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units \/ -18.3% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 4-3 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units \/ -4.55% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units \/ 21.05% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units \/ 9.87% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units \/ -18.59% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles<\/p>\n<p>The Pirates are just 14-88 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.<\/p>\n<p>The Pirates were just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.<\/p>\n<p>The Pirates were just 6-50 (.107) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.<\/p>\n<p>The Pirates were just 1-80 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Orioles hitters are slugging .704 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles hitters are slugging just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles hitters struck out in 24% of their PA\u2019s  in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles batted just .229 on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .622 (3,034 PA\u2019s) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Pirates batted just .219 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates hitters slugged just .186 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against Orioles pitchers  this season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles pitchers allowed an OBP of .352 (1,434 PA\u2019s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Pirates pitchers have walked 23% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates pitchers have walked 14% of batters  this season \u2014 3rd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Pirates won just 13% of the time  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Orioles vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the Pirates Orioles vs Pirates Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs Orioles&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":662833,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2402],"tags":[5,4,10,776,64,4297],"class_list":{"0":"post-662832","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-pittsburgh-pirates","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-pirates","11":"tag-pittsburgh","12":"tag-pittsburgh-pirates","13":"tag-pittsburghpirates"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116346901412832064","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662832","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=662832"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662832\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/662833"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=662832"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=662832"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=662832"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}