The Red Sox are -150 favorites vs the Padres<\/p>\n
Padres vs Red Sox Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs<\/p>\n
Padres \/ Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | PDTV<\/p>\n
The San Diego Padres (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-150) on April 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Boston, MA.<\/p>\n
This season, the Padres are 2-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 2-5 ATS.<\/p>\n
Padres vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n
Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 1-0, 0.00 ERA<\/p>\n
Red Sox starting pitcher: Connelly Early 0-0, 1.69 ERA<\/p>\n
Padres vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under & Moneyline <\/p>\n
SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylinePadres+1.5 -175O 8 -115+125Red Sox -1.5 +145U 8 -105-150<\/p>\n
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n
Bet now on Padres vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n
We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n
Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n
Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.30 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n
Xander Bogaerts has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n
Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.10 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n
Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+8.80 Units \/ 88% ROI)<\/p>\n
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n
Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.70 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n
Wilyer Abreu has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+8.90 Units \/ 148% ROI)<\/p>\n
Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n
Roman Anthony has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.85 Units \/ 84% ROI)<\/p>\n
Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.75 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n
Padres Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n
The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 151 games (+17.30 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 64 away games (+15.75 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n
The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 80 away games (+13.25 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n
The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+7.00 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/p>\n
The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n
Red Sox Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+16.45 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 78 games at home (+13.55 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games at home (+10.70 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 80 games (+10.30 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+7.35 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 2-4 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units \/ -35.44% ROI).<\/p>\n
2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units \/ -43.21% ROI<\/p>\n
2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units \/ -30.32% ROI<\/p>\n
4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units \/ 24.84% ROI<\/p>\n
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 2-5 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units \/ -40.13% ROI).<\/p>\n
2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units \/ -48.37% ROI<\/p>\n
4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units \/ 9.8% ROI<\/p>\n
3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units \/ -18.06% ROI<\/p>\n
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox<\/p>\n
The Padres were 32-17 (.653) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Red Sox (28th in runs scored).<\/p>\n
The Padres were 42-25 (.627) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face the Red Sox (26th runs allowed).<\/p>\n
The Padres were 11-55 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.<\/p>\n
The Padres were 48-12 (.800) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .743.<\/p>\n
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Padres<\/p>\n
The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.<\/p>\n
The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.<\/p>\n
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.<\/p>\n
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.<\/p>\n
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Padres hitters have an OBP of just .264 (246 PA\u2019s) this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .554 (246 PA\u2019s) this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .574 (179 PA\u2019s) against RHP this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
The Red Sox batted .258 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Red Sox hitters had an OBP of .326 (1,777 PA\u2019s) against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Red Sox hitters have drawn walks in 4% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Red Sox hitters have grounded into 7 double plays in 36 opportunities (19%) this season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n
The Padres pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
The Padres allowed 1.04 runs per game (168\/162) in late innings in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.22 (792.0 IP) at home since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season \u2014 4th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n
The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet \u2014 \u2014 2nd longest in MLB<\/p>\n
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .133 against Red Sox pitchers this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Red Sox pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n
Bet now on Padres vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n
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