{"id":663776,"date":"2026-04-05T01:23:58","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T01:23:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/663776\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T01:23:58","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T01:23:58","slug":"rays-vs-twins-prediction-odds-and-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/663776\/","title":{"rendered":"Rays vs Twins Prediction, Odds and Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/dubclub.win\/r\/p\/pri-mk2ju\/?checkout=1&amp;coupon=FINALFOUR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-508391\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1280x720-48.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Twins pulled out the win in the home opener Friday after trailing 3-0 against the Rays, going on to prevail 10-4. This time around, the numbers suggest a different story. Mick Abel (13.50 ERA, 3.60 WHIP) had a nightmare start to the season against an average Baltimore offense and faces a Rays lineup that has been strong against right-handed pitching thus far. Tampa Bay ranks third in BA (.293) and 7th in wRC+ (128) against RHPs. I expect the Rays\u2019 offense to get to the 24-year-old coming off a rocky start.<\/p>\n<p>On the contrary, lefty Steven Matz (7.20 ERA, 1.40 WHIP) takes the bump for Tampa Bay in a much more favorable spot. While Matz didn\u2019t have an ideal start to the season either, he faces a Twins offense showing some rough splits early on this season. Minnesota is posting a 145 wRC+ against RHP compared to a 78 wRC+ against LHP; that\u2019s a drastic drop off. As the Rays\u2019 bullpen is posting a league-worst ERA thus far, I\u2019ll back the lefty Matz to keep the Twins quiet early and take Tampa Bay on the First 5 Innings money line.<\/p>\n<p>Rays vs Twins prediction: Tampa Bay F5 ML (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -120.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Minnesota Twins pulled out the win in the home opener Friday after trailing 3-0 against the Rays,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1400,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2377],"tags":[5,4,297,2550,68,2551,2549],"class_list":{"0":"post-663776","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-tampa-bay-rays","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-rays","11":"tag-tampa-bay","12":"tag-tampa-bay-rays","13":"tag-tampabay","14":"tag-tampabayrays"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116349493489278708","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/663776","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=663776"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/663776\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1400"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=663776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=663776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=663776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}