{"id":664453,"date":"2026-04-05T11:44:01","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T11:44:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/664453\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T11:44:01","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T11:44:01","slug":"why-arizona-is-favored-to-win-sundays-mlb-matchup-4-5-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/664453\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Arizona is favored to win Sunday’s MLB matchup [4\/5\/2026]"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Arizona Diamondbacks will take on the Atlanta Braves, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Chase Field on Sunday, starting at 4:10 PM ET.<\/p>\n

The Diamondbacks will send Brandon Pfaadt (0-0, 7.50 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Mart\u00edn P\u00e9rez (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for the Braves.<\/p>\n

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers’ advanced MLB model gives the Diamondbacks a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Braves.<\/p>\n

This article offers a closer look at Sunday’s Braves vs. Diamondbacks<\/a> matchup, including best bets and picks.<\/p>\n

Braves vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Who will win?<\/p>\n

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday’s MLB game between the Braves and Diamondbacks, forming part of our MLB predictions<\/a> coverage.<\/p>\n

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Diamondbacks a 53% chance of defeating the Braves.<\/p>\n

According to our model, the 9-run over\/under has a 59% chance of going over.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Braves vs. Diamondbacks odds [4\/5\/2026]<\/p>\n

We have sourced the best MLB odds<\/a> in America for this game, which are listed here:<\/p>\n

Bet Type
\nBraves
\nDiamondbacks<\/p>\n

Moneyline
\n-105
\n-108<\/p>\n

Total
\no9 (-118)
\nu9 (+100)<\/p>\n

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.<\/p>\n

Braves vs. Diamondbacks picks and best bet<\/p>\n

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Arizona Diamondbacks will take on the Atlanta Braves, in what is expected to be a tight MLB…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":664454,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2404],"tags":[146,22,4314,5,38,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-664453","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-arizona-diamondbacks","8":"tag-arizona","9":"tag-arizona-diamondbacks","10":"tag-arizonadiamondbacks","11":"tag-baseball","12":"tag-diamondbacks","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116351932536834262","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664453","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=664453"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664453\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/664454"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=664453"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=664453"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=664453"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}