{"id":664628,"date":"2026-04-05T13:41:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T13:41:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/664628\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T13:41:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T13:41:14","slug":"rays-vs-twins-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/664628\/","title":{"rendered":"Rays vs Twins Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Twins<\/p>\n<p>Rays vs Twins Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Rays \/ Twins TV Channel: TWTV | RATV<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-110) on April 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Minneapolis, MN.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Rays are 3-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 4-4 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Rays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 0-0, 2.84 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 0-1, 3.60 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineRays-1.5   +155O 8   -115-110Twins +1.5   -190U 8   -105-110<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday\u2018s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Rays vs Twins and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Junior Caminero has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units \/ 68% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+9.40 Units \/ 94% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units \/ 54% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Chandler Simpson has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.20 Units \/ 64% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Tristan Gray has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+11.20 Units \/ 112% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.85 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Luke Keaschall has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.15 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rays Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 65 of their last 114 games (+11.05 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 82 of their last 146 games (+9.50 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.40 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 75 away games (+5.10 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 75 away games (+4.80 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Twins Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 95 games (+16.40 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units \/ 92% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 119 games (+4.25 Units \/ 3% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units \/ 57% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units \/ 48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Rays are 3-5 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units \/ -28.23% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units \/ -25.14% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units \/ 57.31% ROI<\/p>\n<p>1-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units \/ -64.64% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Twins are 4-4 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units \/ -14.58% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units \/ -17.58% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units \/ -15.91% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units \/ 7.95% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins<\/p>\n<p>The Rays were just 63-11 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays were just 57-14 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are 52-6 (.881) when they\u2019ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2024 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are 138-4 (.972) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.<\/p>\n<p>Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays<\/p>\n<p>The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Twins were just 22-28 (.440) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face the Rays (29th runs allowed).<\/p>\n<p>The Twins were just 20-76 (.208) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.<\/p>\n<p>The Twins were just 5-62 (.075) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.<\/p>\n<p>Rays Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .371  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .307 with runners on base since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .306 with runners on base in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .277  in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Twins Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Twins are batting just .220 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Twins have scored 2.88 runs per game (23\/8) in late innings this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Twins hitters have an OBP of just .133 (30 PA\u2019s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%)  in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Rays pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24%  in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Twins Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Twins pitchers  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Twins pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,117 opportunities (7%)  in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Twins pitchers have walked 8% of batters  since the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Rays vs Twins and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Twins Rays vs Twins Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs Rays&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":662787,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2377],"tags":[5,4,297,2550,68,2551,2549],"class_list":{"0":"post-664628","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-tampa-bay-rays","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-rays","11":"tag-tampa-bay","12":"tag-tampa-bay-rays","13":"tag-tampabay","14":"tag-tampabayrays"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116352390562394262","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664628","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=664628"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664628\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/662787"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=664628"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=664628"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=664628"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}