{"id":664653,"date":"2026-04-05T14:01:17","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T14:01:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/664653\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T14:01:17","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T14:01:17","slug":"braves-vs-diamondbacks-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/664653\/","title":{"rendered":"Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Braves are -110 favorites vs the Diamondbacks<\/p>\n<p>Braves vs Diamondbacks Over \/ Under today: 9 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Braves \/ Diamondbacks TV Channel: BRVN | DBTV<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves (-110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) on April 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Phoenix, AZ.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Braves are 6-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 6-3 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Braves vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 0-0, 0.00 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 0-0, 7.51 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineBraves-1.5   +155O 9   +100-110Diamondbacks +1.5   -190U 9   -120-110<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday\u2018s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Braves vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Dominic Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+19.00 Units \/ 211% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ozzie Albies has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+15.25 Units \/ 76% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+14.15 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Austin Riley has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units \/ 46% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Dominic Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.15 Units \/ 63% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jose Fernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 games (+14.00 Units \/ 467% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ketel Marte has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.50 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Braves Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 26 away games (+20.90 Units \/ 61% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 away games (+12.90 Units \/ 44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+11.55 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.90 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 41 away games (+7.70 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 43 of their last 71 games at home (+20.15 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.90 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 71 games at home (+12.75 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 67 of their last 121 games (+8.00 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.30 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Braves are 6-3 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units \/ 60.44% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units \/ 14.4% ROI<\/p>\n<p>1-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units \/ -78.57% ROI<\/p>\n<p>8-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.9 Units \/ 69% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 6-3 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units \/ 16.24% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units \/ -9.28% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units \/ 6.03% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units \/ -14.72% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks<\/p>\n<p>The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves are just 14-71 (.165) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves were just 21-74 (.221) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks were just 61-17 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks were 65-19 (.774) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.<\/p>\n<p>Braves Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA\u2019s) against LHP in the 2023 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .742.<\/p>\n<p>Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in the 2023 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .413.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves batted .288 against LHP in the 2023 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .254.<\/p>\n<p>Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .419.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of 68% with two-strikes this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 56 total hits (43%)  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have chased 49% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .161 (31 PA\u2019s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Braves pitchers have an ERA of 1.58 (80.0 IP)  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 11 double plays in 46 opportunities (24%)  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves have allowed 1.78 runs per game (16\/9)  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21%  in the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers  this season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers  since the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Braves vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Braves are -110 favorites vs the Diamondbacks Braves vs Diamondbacks Over \/ Under today: 9 Runs Braves&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":664654,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2404],"tags":[146,22,4314,5,38,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-664653","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-arizona-diamondbacks","8":"tag-arizona","9":"tag-arizona-diamondbacks","10":"tag-arizonadiamondbacks","11":"tag-baseball","12":"tag-diamondbacks","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116352473309474496","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664653","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=664653"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664653\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/664654"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=664653"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=664653"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=664653"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}