{"id":664659,"date":"2026-04-05T14:04:16","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T14:04:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/664659\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T14:04:16","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T14:04:16","slug":"brewers-vs-royals-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/664659\/","title":{"rendered":"Brewers vs Royals Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Brewers<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs Royals Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Brewers \/ Royals TV Channel: RYTV | BRTV<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-125) on April 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Kansas City, MO.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Brewers are 6-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 4-4 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 0-0, 1.80 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Royals starting pitcher: Kris Bubic 1-0, 1.50 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineBrewers+1.5   -220O 7.5   -110+105Royals -1.5   +180U 7.5   -110-125<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday\u2018s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Brewers vs Royals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Gary Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+11.30 Units \/ 161% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+9.25 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units \/ 44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>William Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.55 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jonathan India has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+10.10 Units \/ 144% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Maikel Garcia has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.95 Units \/ 99% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Maikel Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 125 games (+25.15 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 79 of their last 162 games (+19.75 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 94 of their last 163 games (+19.54 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 95 of their last 162 games (+18.70 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 97 games (+17.10 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Royals Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 152 games (+27.15 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 76 games at home (+19.40 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games at home (+10.85 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 77 games (+7.70 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.95 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 6-2 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units \/ 80% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units \/ 28.45% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units \/ 19.54% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units \/ -29.21% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Royals are 4-4 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units \/ -15.48% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units \/ -2.12% ROI<\/p>\n<p>2-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units \/ -51.41% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units \/ 44.57% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 45-36 (.556) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .457.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 97-65 (.599)  in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 82-5 (.943) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .909.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 36-8 (.818) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.<\/p>\n<p>Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers<\/p>\n<p>The Royals were 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Royals were just 4-64 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>The Royals were 34-8 (.810) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.<\/p>\n<p>The Royals are just 34-57 (.374) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2024 season Today, they face the Brewers (first in runs scored).<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers have scored 32 runs with two outs this season \u2014 2nd most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers batted .270 on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters had an OBP of .330 (4,406 PA\u2019s) against RHP in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Royals Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Royals hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA\u2019s against RHP in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Royals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA\u2019s against RHP since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Royals hitters have 1 extra-base hit out of 21 total hits (just 5%) with two-strikes this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Royals batted just .281 in hitter\u2019s counts in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 40% with runners in scoring position this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 43% in close and late situations this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 53% with two-strikes this season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Brewers pitchers  this season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Royals Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Royals pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.7 MPH (4,135 batted balls)  in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2024 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .227 against Royals pitchers with runners on base in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Brewers vs Royals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Brewers Brewers vs Royals Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs Brewers&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":664660,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2401],"tags":[5,136,843,59,4280,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-664659","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-milwaukee-brewers","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-brewers","10":"tag-milwaukee","11":"tag-milwaukee-brewers","12":"tag-milwaukeebrewers","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116352484954120689","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664659","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=664659"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664659\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/664660"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=664659"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=664659"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=664659"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}